Jump to content



Photo

Bradley Model Followers


  • Please log in to reply
10 replies to this topic

#1 jjc

jjc

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 2,843 posts

Posted 15 March 2012 - 09:51 AM

I don't know the details. Tomorrow is the predicted reversal day, does that mean it has to be tomorrow or is there this concept of an orb of +/- 3 days the astro guys describe about astro events? If we turn here today or tomorrow and head into a low the first or second week in April, what does that tell you about the rest of the year? What if we have an inversion? By that I mean a low on the Bradley date and a run up? Is that possible given our history the last few days? How soon do you know it has inverted? I'm very curious about all these issue; It seems to me enough traders follow the model to have an impact, regardless of the underlying "fundamental" strength of the model (I just don't know the details). Thanks Jim

#2 dasein

dasein

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 7,008 posts

Posted 15 March 2012 - 02:38 PM

since no one said anything - I dont follow it but there are a lot of posts on TT about it - this may be informative

http://www.traders-t...?...&hl=bradley

then there is google etc
best,
klh

#3 jjc

jjc

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 2,843 posts

Posted 15 March 2012 - 03:12 PM

since no one said anything - I dont follow it but there are a lot of posts on TT about it - this may be informative

http://www.traders-t...?...&hl=bradley

then there is google etc


Thanks Karen. I find that people who use Astro to predict market direction tend to be shy about it, although
I think Andrew Lo is actively researching it (so it may be gaining some respect)

Like any signal that enough people follow; it's good to have an idea how it works.


Jim

Edited by jjc, 15 March 2012 - 03:12 PM.


#4 selecto

selecto

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 6,871 posts

Posted 15 March 2012 - 06:46 PM

Jim, here is my take on Bradley dates:

They are a load of compost. I think they have a 2-3 day window, and can signal (seems to me) reversals, continuations or consolidations. Trade that. :lol:

I note that the moonies never come with a trade call in anticipation of a Bradley date, like: "Hey kids, Thursday is a major Bradley, everybody go ______.

Here is a chart I post now and then showing recent major Bradleys.

http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$SPX&p=D&st=2007-11-01&en=(today)&i=p49572109835&a=192380499&r=3711.png

Edited by selecto, 15 March 2012 - 06:48 PM.


#5 Gumper

Gumper

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 8 posts

Posted 15 March 2012 - 07:00 PM

I am a rank amateur and almost never post because of that, but my understanding of Bradley turn dates is that they may only sometimes reflect turns in equities. It could be a turn in commodities, currencies, or some economic event (consider the recent post about Japan's dire debt situation). Tying it to equities only is I think a mistake. You must look at the macro environment. Sorry for the intrusion.

#6 Rogerdodger

Rogerdodger

    Member

  • TT Member*
  • 23,916 posts

Posted 15 March 2012 - 07:29 PM

I am a rank amateur and almost never post because of that, but my understanding of Bradley turn dates is that they may only sometimes reflect turns in equities. It could be a turn in commodities, currencies, or some economic event (consider the recent post about Japan's dire debt situation). Tying it to equities only is I think a mistake. You must look at the macro environment. Sorry for the intrusion.


EXACTLY!

The last few Bradley dates have seen the price of gasoline go up. :P

#7 Gumper

Gumper

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 8 posts

Posted 15 March 2012 - 07:51 PM

After a trip last week in the RV I certainly felt the effect of those gas price increases! I think they call that a loss! Money out of my pocket into someone else's!

#8 SemiBizz

SemiBizz

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 20,052 posts

Posted 15 March 2012 - 08:19 PM

I reference Bradley, but I don't dwell on it because it is very slushy and gray. Using the term "turn" can be confusing... because you may not get a "turn". I think it's more like a "trend change or acceleration".

I have found that Gann dates are more interesting. For example:


March 6th 2012. 3 year Anniversary of Bear Market Low.


Now look at March 6th on the chart


http://bigcharts.mar...&mocktick=1.gif
Price and Volume Forensics Specialist

Richard Wyckoff - "Whenever you find hope or fear warping judgment, close out your position"

Volume is the only vote that matters... the ultimate sentiment poll.

http://twitter.com/tradingcoach1

#9 arbman

arbman

    Quant

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 19,402 posts

Posted 16 March 2012 - 07:52 AM

If anyone of you is buying or selling the Bradley, I would like to also sell you some snake oil...

Posted Image

Edited by arbman, 16 March 2012 - 07:53 AM.


#10 jjc

jjc

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 2,843 posts

Posted 16 March 2012 - 04:22 PM

If anyone of you is buying or selling the Bradley, I would like to also sell you some snake oil...

Posted Image



It seems doug Kass is. :lol: