Pandemics, etc
#1
Posted 18 October 2014 - 06:49 AM
Ancient Greece
The Plague of Athens was a devastating epidemic which hit the city-state of Athens in ancient Greece
Thucydides' account clearly details the complete disappearance of social morals during the time of the plague.
Byzantium
The Plague of Justinian (541–542) was a pandemic that afflicted the Eastern Roman Empire, especially its capital Constantinople. It has been called one of the greatest plagues in history. It halted Justinian's plans of conquest.
Europe
The Black Death was one of the most devastating pandemics in human history, resulting in the deaths of an estimated 75 to 200 million people and peaking in Europe in the years 1346–53.
Americas, the New World
Eurasian diseases such as smallpox, influenza, bubonic plague and pneumonic plagues devastated the Native Americans who did not have immunity.
Africa, diseases prevented European colonization
The colonists in areas of the tropics in Africa, without immunity from Malaria, Yellow Fever, parasites, etc. could face mortality rates upwards of 80-90%.
Panama, France and the canal
Yellow fever and malaria make building the canal impossible.
More Recent
1914 flu, AIDS, 20th century heart disease
Defenders of the status quo are always stronger than reformers seeking change,
UNTIL the status quo self-destructs from its own corruption, and the reformers are free to build on its ashes.
#2
Posted 19 October 2014 - 09:15 AM
"marxism-lennonism-communism always fails and never worked, because I know
some of them, and they don't work" M.Jordan
#3
Posted 19 October 2014 - 12:05 PM
at 15 minutes an alternative to webbots, this guy thinks ebola is shinola, more of a conditioning operation for later.
An global power economic discussion. I like the webbots idea, the counterparties will make so much money
on this market decline, it is a reordering of power centers.
"marxism-lennonism-communism always fails and never worked, because I know
some of them, and they don't work" M.Jordan
#4
Posted 20 October 2014 - 09:36 AM
epidemics tend to rise and fall in a roughly symmetrical pattern that can be approximated by a normal bell-shaped curve. At first they go up sharply, as the epidemic grabs the low-hanging fruit.
One would normally expect authorities to exaggerate a health scare -- AIDS from 2008:
The United Nations systematically exaggerated the scale of the Aids epidemic and the risk of the HIV virus affecting heterosexuals, claims a leading expert on the disease.
The numbers of people worldwide with HIV have been inflated and the UN Aids agency has wasted billions of pounds on education aimed at people who are unlikely to become infected, says Professor James Chin, a former senior Aids official with the World Health Organisation. He also accused UNAids of misleading and scaring the public by promoting 'myths' about the disease, such as that poorer people are most at risk, and of being guided in its approach by 'political correctness' rather than hard evidence.
http://www.traders-t...?...987&hl=aids
Defenders of the status quo are always stronger than reformers seeking change,
UNTIL the status quo self-destructs from its own corruption, and the reformers are free to build on its ashes.
#5
Posted 23 October 2014 - 07:48 AM
The public-health profession has a clear political orientation, so it’s quite possible that its opposition to a visa and travel moratorium is influenced as much by belief in America’s responsibility for the postcolonial oppression of Africa, and suspicion of American border enforcement, as it is by a commitment to public-health principles of containment and control.
African countries, unburdened by any such racial guilt, have not hesitated to impose travel bans; Nigeria’s travel restrictions are now being credited for its escape from an Ebola incursion.
http://www.city-jour.../eon1021hm.html
Defenders of the status quo are always stronger than reformers seeking change,
UNTIL the status quo self-destructs from its own corruption, and the reformers are free to build on its ashes.
#6
Posted 24 October 2014 - 07:00 AM
Infected by Politics - The public-health profession is more committed to social justice than to sound science.
Will Ebola become the "Anti-Polio vaccine" and shred the credibility of the medical authorities?
The polio vaccine of the late 1950's gave the medical community great credibility with the public.
IMO they have abused that credibility and morphed into a gigantic, self-interested, politicized bureaucratic monster.
If Ebola spreads, the incompetence and corruption of the medical authorities will be front and center.
That news has been under the radar for decades, waiting for the right time to emerge.
http://en.wikipedia....i/Polio_vaccine
We don't know how serious Ebola is, but we'll soon be finding out.
http://www.washingto...ry.html?hpid=z3
Defenders of the status quo are always stronger than reformers seeking change,
UNTIL the status quo self-destructs from its own corruption, and the reformers are free to build on its ashes.
#7
Posted 24 October 2014 - 03:46 PM
In any epidemic, the key statistic is the number of new cases per case. If that parameter is greater than one, the number of cases grows exponentially, and you have an epidemic. If less than one, the disease dies out. That parameter may not be the same in every environment: it’s obviously greater than 1.0 in Liberia, but as long as Americans don’t have their entire extended families handle the body at a funeral, it’s almost certainly well under 1.0 here.
There is a potential long-run problem. Sure, Ebola is basically a bat virus that’s just visiting humanity—but sometimes those visitors settle in for the long haul. Many serious human infectious diseases started out in some other species. Measles split off from rinderpest (which infects cattle); yellow fever originated in monkeys and is still found there. A century ago, HIV was just another monkey virus.
When these pathogens jump species, they change. They mutate, and some of those mutations help them adjust to their new host. The more people infected, the more copies of the Ebola virus there are, and the more chances of mutations that would transform Ebola into a permanent human pathogen. I don’t know how to evaluate that probability—but it’s happened before, more than once.
http://takimag.com/a...t#ixzz3H65xG79f
Defenders of the status quo are always stronger than reformers seeking change,
UNTIL the status quo self-destructs from its own corruption, and the reformers are free to build on its ashes.
#8
Posted 26 January 2015 - 04:55 AM
Illegals may be a big factor in the Disneyland measles thing.
Vax rates for illegals are deplorable and they are not being properly monitored in the schools for vaccinations, so the rate of non immunized kids is rising.
California long ago turned the corner and is a bastion of Mexican, South American Illegal immigration–no surprise if there would be outbreaks of the pediatric preventable infectious diseases.
The entero virus outbreak is another form of outbreak. Yesterday I saw a person with a coxackie or enteroviral illness rash (coxackie is a form of enteroviral infection that can produce heart and solid organ damage).
The patient was miserable and had only been sick for two days. Reminded me that viral infections come in many flavors and are sometimes nasty. Recall that there have been outbrreaks of Entero 68 and 71, mostly respiratory.
http://junkscience.c...asles-outbreak/
Defenders of the status quo are always stronger than reformers seeking change,
UNTIL the status quo self-destructs from its own corruption, and the reformers are free to build on its ashes.
#9
Posted 21 February 2015 - 06:59 PM
If you look at the long sweep of history, global integration has tended to bring mass pandemics in its wake. My understanding is that you basically got waves of major plagues in the ancient world, pretty much whenever somebody controlled the steppes of Central Asia well enough that substantial commerce between China and the West could take place. Pretty soon afterwards, lots of people died. In the opening of the New World, it wasn't the conquistadors, it was the microbes that really did it here.
Now we have this very integrated world with very uneven levels of public health. You have to think that a pandemic is at least a possibility. I think we can be reasonably sure that it won't actually involve zombies, but aside from that, it's a real threat.
http://www.vox.com/2...ugman-economist
Defenders of the status quo are always stronger than reformers seeking change,
UNTIL the status quo self-destructs from its own corruption, and the reformers are free to build on its ashes.
#10
Posted 23 March 2015 - 01:16 PM
His remarks on the failures of the UN in combating the Ebola virus follow revelations last week by the Associated Press that the World Health Organization refused to declare an official state of emergency in west Africa over Ebola for fear of disturbing the politics of the region. According to emails the AP obtained, among the reasons listed for not calling the outbreak an emergency were the potential of outrage on behalf of African politicians and the possibility that such an announcement would disturb the annual Muslim pilgrimage to Mecca.
In addition to the leaked emails, an extensive and damning report from Doctors Without Borders suggests that UN inaction played a pivotal role in allowing the virus to spread and kill at least 10,000 people worldwide. “All the elements that led to the outbreak’s resurgence in June were also present in March, but the analysis, recognition and willingness to assume responsibility to respond robustly were not,” the report states.
http://www.breitbart...reak-by-august/
Defenders of the status quo are always stronger than reformers seeking change,
UNTIL the status quo self-destructs from its own corruption, and the reformers are free to build on its ashes.