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A Potential "Black Swan" Early Next Week


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#1 redfoliage2

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Posted 20 November 2015 - 09:49 AM

EOM

#2 SemiBizz

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Posted 20 November 2015 - 10:28 AM

Our analysis is very close... :D


Only I'm looking for my bird later in the week, I can pinpoint it... Thursday... :lol:



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#3 redfoliage2

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Posted 20 November 2015 - 11:43 AM

I think the GDP # out on Tue. will be very bad ..........

Edited by redfoliage2, 20 November 2015 - 11:43 AM.


#4 MaryAM

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Posted 20 November 2015 - 11:51 AM

I think the GDP # out on Tue. will be very bad ..........

Depends on how they calculate it
http://www.shadowsta...-product-charts

#5 qqqqtrdr

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Posted 20 November 2015 - 11:53 AM

Lack of trading, Black Swan over the holidays.... Hmm... Hopefully it is not so bad that we have a Turduken Dive..... Barry

#6 redfoliage2

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Posted 20 November 2015 - 12:32 PM

Lack of trading, Black Swan over the holidays.... Hmm... Hopefully it is not so bad that we have a Turduken Dive.....

Barry


However, if it's really bad, the Fed may have to hold off the rate hike at the December meeting.......

#7 gameover

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Posted 20 November 2015 - 01:00 PM

Lack of trading, Black Swan over the holidays.... Hmm... Hopefully it is not so bad that we have a Turduken Dive.....

Barry


However, if it's really bad, the Fed may have to hold off the rate hike at the December meeting.......



i can tell you with 150% certainty, there will NOT be a rate hike

negative interest policy is coming

this is what is going to fuel equity markets MUCH higher


fed statements are lies, always have been, always will be
2% inflation statement today is pure lies
they guys are puppets like guys like celente, alex jones, and on and on
it's call psych ops, been told all the tricks

#8 pdx5

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Posted 20 November 2015 - 01:18 PM

I think the GDP # out on Tue. will be very bad ..........



Then market should go up nicely, because FED will announce QE4.
The measly 1/4 point increase is a given, after House of Reps. proposed
a bill to force rates set by a formula based on Unemployment, inflation & GDP. That bill has shaken loose the cobwebs in Janet's head.

Edited by pdx5, 20 November 2015 - 01:21 PM.

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#9 draggen33

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Posted 20 November 2015 - 01:23 PM

I think the GDP # out on Tue. will be very bad ..........



Then market should go up nicely, because FED will announce QE4.
The measly 1/4 point increase is a given, after House of Reps. proposed
a bill to force rates set by a formula based on Unemployment, inflation & GDP. That bill has shaken loose the cobwebs in Janet's head.

what does this mean!!!!! FOMC having special closed door meeting Monday at 11:30 to discuss interest rates.http://www.federalreserve.gov/aboutthefed/boardmeetings/20151123advexp.htm

#10 redfoliage2

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Posted 20 November 2015 - 02:01 PM

I think the GDP # out on Tue. will be very bad ..........



Then market should go up nicely, because FED will announce QE4.
The measly 1/4 point increase is a given, after House of Reps. proposed
a bill to force rates set by a formula based on Unemployment, inflation & GDP. That bill has shaken loose the cobwebs in Janet's head.


As GDP # is the key component in the formula, the Fed may be unable to meet the guideline for raising the rate. I guess that's why the Fed vice president Fisher changed the tone yesterday and said it's not decided and we are still collecting data......

Edited by redfoliage2, 20 November 2015 - 02:11 PM.