Posted this on TT on March 5. Were coming up on 90 days. This kept you out of a lotta trouble. Took a short on April 26/27. Posted it here, but I always had this in the back of my mind. Note we are finally moving out of the sweet spot at 75-85 days out.
I haven't been drinking the Kool Aid and have been fairly inactive. I took a gold (miners) short a couple weeks back. Posted it here. I think we've got some more down to go with gold/miners.
Overall with the markets -- FIRMLY STILL A BEAR AS FAR AS LONGER TERM. I admit the high breadth is troublesome for the bearish case. Time will tell. I guess it's possible for SPX to make a new high with RUT not confirming... one possibility. But that is still suspect to me until it happens. No plans to jump on the bull bus. At the same time, I have no plans to short until I see something more than what I see now.
Holding firm to my 2016 forecast. Posted it here on TT Dec. 30 or so. I'll try to be around if I can draw a bead on a solid trade.