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65% still out of the mkt

according to AAII

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#1 da_cheif

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Posted 18 August 2016 - 09:31 AM

AAII members are:
(as of 8/17/2016)
Bullish: 35.56%
Neutral: 38.08%
Bearish: 26.36% eom



#2 OEXCHAOS

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Posted 18 August 2016 - 01:14 PM

Again, this is just opinion, not position.

 

They may be 75% IN the market just not excited about it. We just don't know. This data isn't Bearish, certainly, but it's not particularly Bullish or helpful either.

 

NAAIM shows 75% of advisors 77.5% long or more, and 50% of managers 100% or more long. Not a screaming Sell, but also cause for some modest caution.


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#3 da_cheif

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Posted 18 August 2016 - 01:26 PM

without 65% bullish .......35% bullish is VERY bullish as it has been for a  VERY long time.....being not extremely bullish is very easy to do.......



#4 tommyt

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Posted 18 August 2016 - 03:07 PM

AAII numbers are not that good...they flop around quickly from week to week, check them the last few weeks. Particularly not good for a long term bull like you chief. I'll call you out on this one, this is "fitting" to your bull case :-) Inv Intell a bit better.



#5 da_cheif

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Posted 18 August 2016 - 03:11 PM

you know how many times ive been called out in the last 12000 pts.... i lost count   ......watch the sky



#6 da_cheif

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Posted 18 August 2016 - 03:16 PM

oh i forgot investors intell  ....i you get the svc you will see that the number of bulls got much higher 3 months off the 03 low....the market kept goin up for 4 more years.......i do this for a living if you havent forgotten..... anything else?.....maybe we should hear from those who thought we were in a broadening top formation....or those numerous times i heard 3 peaks and a domed house......or negative divergences. etc etc add nauseum



#7 robo

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Posted 21 August 2016 - 05:55 PM

I trade much shorter time frames then you do, but ST the odds favor the next move to be down. However, you have been correct about the trend in the LT....

 

I'm ST trading SDS andTZA. I'm also long the miners....GDXJ! 

 

I get all the data you mentioned from Sentiment trader, and my system is currently short in the ST.

 

I hope you be making some money Cheif!

 

Trade well.

 

http://stockcharts.c...217&a=473521763

http://stockcharts.c...270&a=473521663

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http://stockcharts.c...489&a=473521614

http://stockcharts.c...885&a=473521645

http://stockcharts.c...906&a=473521647

http://stockcharts.c...892&a=473521653

http://stockcharts.c...945&a=473522357

http://stockcharts.c...330&a=473523801

http://stockcharts.c...166&a=473523852

http://stockcharts.c...661&a=473526357


Edited by robo, 21 August 2016 - 05:58 PM.

“There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side”   Jesse L. Livermore