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75% out of the market according to AAII

MORE BEARS THAN BULLS

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#1 da_cheif

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Posted 22 September 2016 - 09:38 AM

HISTORICAL AVERAGE: 38.4%
?
BULLISH
24.8%
-3.1 Percentage point
change from
last week


NEUTRAL
36.9%
+0.7 Percentage point
change from
last week

BEARISH
38.3%
+2.4 Percentage point
change from
last week

Note: Numbers may not add up to 100% because of rounding.



#2 OEXCHAOS

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Posted 22 September 2016 - 12:39 PM

We've gotten some pretty nasty corrections on similar readings.


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#3 kinga200

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Posted 22 September 2016 - 12:41 PM

We've gotten some pretty nasty corrections on similar readings.

Yeah, I was about to say we have!



#4 da_cheif

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Posted 22 September 2016 - 12:57 PM

really....as i recall the last nasty was in 2008:>)



#5 qqqqtrdr

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Posted 22 September 2016 - 01:11 PM

I gave up on AAII because it has not been accurate.....    You could read this chart also if AAII Bears get below -45 it will go higher.....  We might still be in a downtrend....


Edited by qqqqtrdr, 22 September 2016 - 01:16 PM.


#6 da_cheif

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Posted 22 September 2016 - 01:58 PM

aaii numbers have been like this all the way up eh



#7 lawdog

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Posted 22 September 2016 - 03:31 PM

aaii is not always a great fade. however, i believe aaii is now a good fade because it is supported/confirmed by other indicators of sentiment. investors intelligence is a similar indicator and is confirming aaii. there is a surprising level of bearishness while the indexes are at or near ath's. no one indicator can ever be slavishly relied upon, but they combine to provide the weight of evidence for up or down and the evidence weighs for a continuation of this upward move. 

 

there is risk for being in the market, but being out is just as risky because a lost opportunity cannot be reclaimed.

 

stay the course bulls. discipline is key. this may be the time we break 2200.



#8 da_cheif

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Posted 22 September 2016 - 04:02 PM

aaii is not always a great fade. however, i believe aaii is now a good fade because it is supported/confirmed by other indicators of sentiment. investors intelligence is a similar indicator and is confirming aaii. there is a surprising level of bearishness while the indexes are at or near ath's. no one indicator can ever be slavishly relied upon, but they combine to provide the weight of evidence for up or down and the evidence weighs for a continuation of this upward move. 

 

there is risk for being in the market, but being out is just as risky because a lost opportunity cannot be reclaimed.

 

stay the course bulls. discipline is key. this may be the time we break 2200.

right on except i disagree with this risky biz part    there is no long term risk in the stock market........ fear is rising with price and the wall of worry will be with us a very long time .....the higher the market goes the more nose bleeds will occur....that is why so few make it to the top of K2 eh    ...the epicenter of primary wave 3 up is a once in a lifetime move....where caution will be thrown to the wind.......and the perma bears will finally give it up.......that list is very long and is but a measure of what lies before us.....the dows divisor is now a multiplier......whats coming will make the 90s look like childs play



#9 lawdog

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Posted 22 September 2016 - 05:12 PM

my comment as to risk being in the market was to merely point out that whether you are in or out, there is always risk. 



#10 tommyt

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Posted 22 September 2016 - 08:32 PM

yes, AAII not that reliable..week to week the numbers change quickly.







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