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Bulls be aware! 2242-45 SPX+/-5 is major long term resistance

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#1 Rocketman

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Posted 08 December 2016 - 08:40 AM

http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/

 

Forecast from my last public blogpost on 11/4/16, "The 47 TD Cycle is still suggesting a 11/8 Low +/-3 TD"

From the 11/9 Update: "A solid close above 2155 SPX confirms the 11/4 major Low as the 180 TD/9 Month major Low and we now rally into the next 1-2 months"

Actual: The Cash SPX Low was on 11/4L at 2083.79 SPX, which was a quintuple time CIT, while the Globex SP futures made its Lowest Low on 11/8-9.

From the 11/22 Update: "it is best to use any short term pullbacks to add to longs and just be long until around 12/XX. There is a “Tunnel” Price target at 2239 SPX"

From the 12/1 Update: "There is long term trend line resistance at 2245 SPX+/-5"

Actual: From the 11/4 Low, we rallied so far a whopping 157.84 SP's in one month into 12/7H at 2241.63 SPX, which reached our 2239 SPX Tunnel Price target.

 

spx%2Blong%2Bterm%2Bmajor%2Btrend%2Bline

We have rallied into major long term 19 year old major trend line resistance that started from the10/28/97L, touched 10/8/98L, 3/22/01L, 3/19/02H, 10/11/07H, 5/20/15H, all major Highs and Lows! and now 12/07/16H at 2241.63 SPX. Of course it can pierce this trend line a little, but it suggests limited upside potential as 2242-45 SPX +/-5 should be major resistance.

Thursday 12/8 is a major long term proprietary Geometric Time CIT, that dates back 5 1/2 years ago, from the 5/2/11H.  12/9 is the next Solar CIT and the "Ezekiel Wheel" next CIT is on 12/9. 

 

45%2Bweek%2Bcycle.gif

There is also a 45 week cycle due this 12/9/16 week that started from the 3/6/09L.

What's next: We should make a Dec 8 High+/-1, targeting 2245 SPX +/-5 and start a retrace, we should then retest these Highs at a long term projected future major High date.
 



#2 Rocketman

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Posted 08 December 2016 - 12:24 PM

The intraday cycle is a Low am to High pm day, ie, we see a 1st hour Low, often (not always) the Low of Day and a last hour High, often (not always), the High of Day

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#3 Rocketman

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Posted 11 December 2016 - 10:28 AM

Saturday, December 10, 2016    http://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/

Bullish momentum remains strong and as all trends are up, surprises will be to the upside. We do not short this market, until after XXX Date, and then we need to see a reversal lower to confirm.

 

In the past, in March 01 and Jan 02, that long term 19 year trendline was pierced it by as much as 20 SP’s, then it bounced back. For next week, that would be 2245+ 20 = 2265 SPX, If it rallies beyond that, that would be impressive for sure.

 

In terms of time, the long term Geo CIT in CD arrives on Friday 12/9, along with the 12/9 Solar and Ezekiel Wheel CIT. It is allowed to be 1 TD off, so we could see a Monday higher 12/12 High, but  if we continue to rally beyond Monday 12/12, then we consider this one of those rare misses.


Edited by Rocketman, 11 December 2016 - 10:33 AM.






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