Please Vote...
100% Chance of Recession in the next 4 years...
Started by
SemiBizz
, Jan 10 2017 10:37 AM
17 replies to this topic
#1
SemiBizz
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Volume Dynamics Specialist
Posted 10 January 2017 - 10:37 AM
Price and Volume Forensics Specialist
Richard Wyckoff - "Whenever you find hope or fear warping judgment, close out your position"
Volume is the only vote that matters... the ultimate sentiment poll.
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Richard Wyckoff - "Whenever you find hope or fear warping judgment, close out your position"
Volume is the only vote that matters... the ultimate sentiment poll.
http://twitter.com/VolumeDynamics http://parler.com/Volumedynamics
#2
SemiBizz
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Volume Dynamics Specialist
Posted 10 January 2017 - 01:21 PM
If someone doesn't think we'll have a recession, just vote in the 2020 spot, that will be good enough...
Price and Volume Forensics Specialist
Richard Wyckoff - "Whenever you find hope or fear warping judgment, close out your position"
Volume is the only vote that matters... the ultimate sentiment poll.
http://twitter.com/VolumeDynamics http://parler.com/Volumedynamics
Richard Wyckoff - "Whenever you find hope or fear warping judgment, close out your position"
Volume is the only vote that matters... the ultimate sentiment poll.
http://twitter.com/VolumeDynamics http://parler.com/Volumedynamics
#3
OEXCHAOS
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Mark S. Young
Posted 10 January 2017 - 03:31 PM
I am very open to a much longer wait for a recession, given how anemic growth has been. Also, I'm not sure that the prior plan to use the stock market to sop up, and then eliminate excess liquidity rather than raise rates sharply once the economy heats up, isn't still in play.
As such, we may just have a sharp market correction/Bear Market but not have a recession until we get out there 4 or 5 years from now.
Not that I care, that much, either way.
Mark S Young
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#4
OEXCHAOS
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Mark S. Young
Posted 10 January 2017 - 03:40 PM
One thing is fairly certain; this is not going to be a "typical" republican administration. I'd be very circumspect about applying past historical analogies to either politics or its relationship to the market.
Mark S Young
Wall Street Sentiment
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#5
fib_1618
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Posted 10 January 2017 - 04:50 PM
We're already in a recession...have been for the last 9 months.
Fib
Better to ignore me than abhor me.
“Wise men don't need advice. Fools won't take it” - Benjamin Franklin
"Beware of false knowledge; it is more dangerous than ignorance" - George Bernard Shaw
Demagogue: A leader who makes use of popular prejudices, false claims and promises in order to gain power.
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#6
dowdeva
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Posted 10 January 2017 - 07:07 PM
Depression, not recession. This one is going to be one to remember, those who are left alive at the end of it.
#7
BigBadBear
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Posted 10 January 2017 - 09:43 PM
Cant wait for Trump to take office. The 'daddies boy' heir just appointed another heir (son-in-law) as his senior advisor. The bear market starts this year. The Obama bull is done and dusted.
#8
pdx5
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I want return OF my money more than return ON my money
Posted 10 January 2017 - 09:46 PM
We're already in a recession...have been for the last 9 months.
Fib
The outlet mall near me has 85 stores (all famous brands covered) and almost all have discounts ranging from 40-70%.
If that is not recession, what is it? Looks like discretionary spending dollars are scarce.
"Money cannot consistently be made trading every day or every week during the year." ~ Jesse Livermore Trading Rule
#9
pdx5
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I want return OF my money more than return ON my money
Posted 10 January 2017 - 10:27 PM
Cant wait for Trump to take office. The 'daddies boy' heir just appointed another heir (son-in-law) as his senior advisor. The bear market starts this year. The Obama bull is done and dusted.
Correction....the ZIRP bull is near death or mortally wounded. Janet is spooked by Trump into declaring 3 rate hikes in 2017.
"Money cannot consistently be made trading every day or every week during the year." ~ Jesse Livermore Trading Rule
#10
fib_1618
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Posted 11 January 2017 - 12:12 PM
Given the premise of this thread, I decided to quickly pull together two charts showing the U.S. unemployment rate and stock market activity since 1948. The first chart shows the Presidents in power over this same period with those shaded in red representing Republicans and those shaded in blue Democrats. The second chart has the same statistical background with periods shaded in red having a Republican majority of both the Senate and the House of Representatives, those shaded in blue that of Democratic majority, and those in grey denoting a split between the two bodies of the legislature.
Presented solely to provide clarity of whether it's the Executive Branch, the Legislated Branch, or a combination of both that are responsible for the ebb and flow of economic activity.
Fib
Better to ignore me than abhor me.
“Wise men don't need advice. Fools won't take it” - Benjamin Franklin
"Beware of false knowledge; it is more dangerous than ignorance" - George Bernard Shaw
Demagogue: A leader who makes use of popular prejudices, false claims and promises in order to gain power.
Technical Watch Subscriptions
