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wave 3?


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#371 gannman

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Posted 23 April 2017 - 08:25 PM

interesting watching this dollar down maybe it has put in a major top metals steep selloff but coming back. personally 

 

i am very bullish here i dont think we drop that much lower especially in the hui we will see this week this is what 

 

makes it interesting. i find in trading you must be true to yourself i have no gurus i follow really one thing the wave count

 

and my interpretation of the wave count is very bullish for metals here . anyway should be a fascinating week good trading

 

to all


feeling mellow with the yellow metal


#372 dharma

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Posted 23 April 2017 - 08:44 PM

yes, i read everyone that seems astute, and i come to my own conclusions. 

that downtrend line, and there are a few ways to draw it , remains overhead, it would not 

surprise me to back off into the bradley on may 5th  before a surge to take out

i do see gold going on a run very soon.  w/some significant price appreciation

dharma



#373 dharma

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Posted 24 April 2017 - 01:26 PM

overnight , le pen taking 2nd embolden the banksters and they sold

i have no idea who will win the runoff

but the rumor will be sold and the news bought. 

i want to see if 1245 gets tested if not it tells you gold is very strong

the indian festival buying is over for now.  so while they bought heavily coupled w/the geopolitical drama

pushed gold up to the downtrend line

the big item for me is money velocity is still in a down trend, we need that to reverse to get the bull going

i think it happens , fairly soon

until then , just minor moves.  

dharma



#374 gannman

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Posted 24 April 2017 - 05:35 PM

like dharma says this thing can stretch into next week imho


feeling mellow with the yellow metal


#375 gannman

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Posted 24 April 2017 - 11:47 PM

expecting a rally in the hui up to about 207 fwiw


feeling mellow with the yellow metal


#376 AChartist

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Posted 25 April 2017 - 05:05 AM

My cycles look the same, last I said it did look like a week down to test breakout but it now can

 

be one more week or up to three at the most. 

 

The high is in 9-10 weeks sharp W4 drop and high in 20 weeks I would 

 

attempt to trade out at 10 weeks for W4 drop.


"marxism-lennonism-communism always fails and never worked, because I know

some of them, and they don't work"  M.Jordan


#377 Smithy

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Posted 25 April 2017 - 08:11 AM

High in 9-10 weeks puts it at mid June?



#378 gannman

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Posted 25 April 2017 - 10:07 AM

Bad chart action here probably in the middle of a 3rd wave down I will watch
feeling mellow with the yellow metal


#379 goldfungus

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Posted 25 April 2017 - 10:11 AM

Bad chart action here probably in the middle of a 3rd wave down I will watch

Keeping my eye on the metal itself. Below 1235 and it's back to bad times. 



#380 dharma

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Posted 25 April 2017 - 10:22 AM

i like to use seasonal charts as my guide and it has been effective. http://www.seasonalc...ssics_gold.html in essence they show , imo, demand from india and china. w/the festival buying being over for now.  there are no fundamental catalysts. so the market takes a breather. 

i have taken gdxj off my watch screen, they constructed it poorly, by their own admission , so what does it reflect. that is something i accept and move on. 1261 is the next support and 1245 is my target.  1229 and the 1220zone are massive support .  i dont see this market in trouble here. so far it is a quite normal correction. which is now very oversold. its good the fear barometer is rising and shades of 11 -15are remembered. in spite of the yells and screams . the market is on more firm footing than it was in that time period.  i believe that rising rates will help turn money velocity to trending upwards. the hikes so far have not produced that . but , i think they will .rising money velocity is a key to the bull. its a sign. i lightened up yesterday and am now waiting. that dsi at 90 was the signal.   complacency kills

now we wait. oversold and waiting for the signal

dharma