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Commercial Paper Says,


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#1 OEXCHAOS

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Posted 21 March 2017 - 06:52 PM

Still nothing to worry about. The Financial Commercial Paper - Commercial Paper is at .14, well below the area of concern.

 

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#2 q4wer

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Posted 21 March 2017 - 07:23 PM

It only becomes a concern when market crashes into a low, 200 lower. 



#3 lawdog

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Posted 21 March 2017 - 10:01 PM

In Irish accent: "keep moving along; your leveraged account just lost 3% today, nothing to see here."



#4 Charvo

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Posted 21 March 2017 - 10:15 PM

I can't imagine the first dip off the top being the big one.  It takes time and plenty of divergences for massive rallies to end.  I think this one is not different.



#5 tommyt

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Posted 21 March 2017 - 10:46 PM

" It takes time and plenty of divergences for massive rallies to end.  I think this one is not different."

 

The end? not my job to know or care...I'm paid to read the dashboard and position accordingly. These are some pretty noteworthy divergences:

 

 

http://stockcharts.c...id=p51035869577

 

http://stockcharts.c...id=p83733137120



#6 OEXCHAOS

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Posted 22 March 2017 - 07:42 AM

This is a leading indicator. If you're looking for big trouble in the financial sector, this data--created by people who have much more intimate knowledge of and exposure to the asset--says there is nothing that's causing THEM particular concern.

 

There can be OTHER issues of greater concern that can take this market down, certainly. But if you're betting on a market collapse being primarily driven by the financial sector imploding, you are essentially betting against people who know more than you do.

 

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#7 SemiBizz

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Posted 22 March 2017 - 07:52 AM

It's a LAGGING indicator... by the time it reacts.... Kiss your @$$ goodbye...


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#8 MaryAM

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Posted 22 March 2017 - 08:10 AM

Is this stuff included in the commercial paper?

https://www.newyorkf...lastTwenty.html

If it is - does not count - there is no counter party risk any more - all purchased with new money.  AND from some transactions I have been involved in - the underlying paper supporting the securities may be fake.  



#9 SemiBizz

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Posted 22 March 2017 - 08:32 AM

Commercial Paper would have told you nothing about the May 6th 2010 FLASH CRASH....


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#10 OEXCHAOS

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Posted 22 March 2017 - 09:02 AM

It's a LAGGING indicator... by the time it reacts.... Kiss your @$$ goodbye...

 

When was the last time you looked at this data? Seems to me, you got a heads up months before the last Bear really got going.


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