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#1 CLK

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Posted 12 August 2017 - 04:38 PM

Outside a few days of back and forth, the sell off is done. Divergences are in the direction of trend.

 

 

 

 



#2 csw2002

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Posted 12 August 2017 - 07:24 PM

Thanks for the chart. One question though: normally when we talk about positive divergences, usually it is the price that makes a lower low while indicators making higher low (such as jan Feb 2016). Yours are the other way around. In fact, many would have said this points additional weakness ahead as internals fail to confirm.
Don't be a fool like me - How I lost $10K

#3 CLK

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Posted 13 August 2017 - 07:27 AM

Either method works, but the less obvious it is, the less you will be wrong.

 

Just because price drops a lot does not indicate a change in trend.


Edited by CLK, 13 August 2017 - 07:32 AM.


#4 CLK

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Posted 14 August 2017 - 08:47 AM

Short 246.10.    Too much too fast and I wasn't able to buy Friday, certainly not chasing this gap up.



#5 CLK

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Posted 14 August 2017 - 10:21 AM

I think the upside is done now, got in a little early, can be a fast market early but should have used a stop

below market on the short.



#6 CLK

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Posted 14 August 2017 - 06:43 PM

I think I am going to lose on this one. Have to make time to watch the last hour without fail for awhile to avoid

missing eod opportunities, like Friday.



#7 CLK

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Posted 15 August 2017 - 09:23 AM

If we don't get to 2455 ES or lower sometime today, then we are looking at an inverse H&S hourly up to 2490 tomorrow.

I will wait until the close, the day will be down.


Edited by CLK, 15 August 2017 - 09:24 AM.


#8 CLK

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Posted 15 August 2017 - 08:23 PM

Didn't close out. Looks like a launch tonight to 2490. I'm hoping not but these patterns 

rarely fail. If you have ES volume, watch for a big volume bar in the right shoulder tonight,

if volume stays low then maybe we have more downside.



#9 CLK

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Posted 16 August 2017 - 07:10 AM

The right side of the pattern seems to be putting in a double top, looking for 2450.



#10 CLK

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Posted 16 August 2017 - 03:17 PM

Took my loss. Need to buy at least a week next time, and this was bad trading, had two chances to about break

even and passed. When you know you timed badly, just try to get your money back, forget about profits.