Jump to content



Photo

Crash is Underway but Market doesn't believe it yet.


  • Please log in to reply
37 replies to this topic

#21 tradesurfer

tradesurfer

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 2,944 posts

Posted 21 August 2017 - 12:01 AM

After some further research it is starting to look like we might get the final high this Friday August 25th, which is exactly 30 years since the August 25th, 1987 peak.  That would be a nice and perfect 30 year gann cycle top from that all important August 25th date.

 

I would absolutely love to see this market rally right into that date when tops are quite likely to occur this time of year.



#22 salam

salam

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 1,579 posts

Posted 21 August 2017 - 07:19 AM

Semi, many thanks for your analysis.

 

Geopolitical uncertainty is certainly increasing Volatility...and volume will start to kick in after the summer recess soon.

 

 

However, to get me LT Bearish, I will need a monthly close below 2350 on the S+P.

 

I will turn IT Bearish with a weekly close below 2390.

 

ST.  I am enjoying a very pleasant correction on the short side. but I am planning to scale in long this week for an attempt in September to test the ATHs. (2390-2406 area) Bulls may get stuck at 2460, but a blow out to new ATHs would certainly get the Bulls frothing and the bears capitulating....till then, position sizes will remain small and my stops managable!

 

Best wishes, Salam

 

ps Position update ....1/3 Short from 2473... I will cover below 2421


Edited by salam, 21 August 2017 - 07:21 AM.

I'm not sure what my future holds... But I know who holds it.

#23 SemiBizz

SemiBizz

    Volume Dynamics Specialist

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 23,208 posts

Posted 21 August 2017 - 09:21 AM

 

 

DB is certainly not a proxy for the rest of the market.

 

OK, I can quote you.

 

 

It sure is today...


Price and Volume Forensics Specialist

Richard Wyckoff - "Whenever you find hope or fear warping judgment, close out your position"

Volume is the only vote that matters... the ultimate sentiment poll.

http://twitter.com/VolumeDynamics  http://parler.com/Volumedynamics

#24 SemiBizz

SemiBizz

    Volume Dynamics Specialist

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 23,208 posts

Posted 21 August 2017 - 09:39 AM

DB NEW LOW now in Frankfurt...

 

NYSE ADRs lagged Friday's Lows and made new lows today...

 

Now they are in harmony...

 

DOWN DOWN DOWN


Price and Volume Forensics Specialist

Richard Wyckoff - "Whenever you find hope or fear warping judgment, close out your position"

Volume is the only vote that matters... the ultimate sentiment poll.

http://twitter.com/VolumeDynamics  http://parler.com/Volumedynamics

#25 SemiBizz

SemiBizz

    Volume Dynamics Specialist

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 23,208 posts

Posted 21 August 2017 - 09:41 AM

GS target now is 213...

 

Unless it can test 213 and break it, they will make their "not nuf bears" argument and run it up, along with the market again...

 

So just wait for that 213 test, that's going to be a deal maker or breaker...


Price and Volume Forensics Specialist

Richard Wyckoff - "Whenever you find hope or fear warping judgment, close out your position"

Volume is the only vote that matters... the ultimate sentiment poll.

http://twitter.com/VolumeDynamics  http://parler.com/Volumedynamics

#26 SemiBizz

SemiBizz

    Volume Dynamics Specialist

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 23,208 posts

Posted 21 August 2017 - 09:43 AM

6193 testing again...

 

Consolidation.


Price and Volume Forensics Specialist

Richard Wyckoff - "Whenever you find hope or fear warping judgment, close out your position"

Volume is the only vote that matters... the ultimate sentiment poll.

http://twitter.com/VolumeDynamics  http://parler.com/Volumedynamics

#27 salam

salam

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 1,579 posts

Posted 21 August 2017 - 10:14 AM

Ive flipped long with break of 2420...day trade (stop Low of the day)


Edited by salam, 21 August 2017 - 10:14 AM.

I'm not sure what my future holds... But I know who holds it.

#28 salam

salam

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 1,579 posts

Posted 21 August 2017 - 10:40 AM

closed half at 2426.4 ...we may attempt 2440 test again....looks like a consolidation and base building for the next move.... 


I'm not sure what my future holds... But I know who holds it.

#29 SemiBizz

SemiBizz

    Volume Dynamics Specialist

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 23,208 posts

Posted 21 August 2017 - 10:52 AM

Short term resistance ES 2428.75


Price and Volume Forensics Specialist

Richard Wyckoff - "Whenever you find hope or fear warping judgment, close out your position"

Volume is the only vote that matters... the ultimate sentiment poll.

http://twitter.com/VolumeDynamics  http://parler.com/Volumedynamics

#30 SemiBizz

SemiBizz

    Volume Dynamics Specialist

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 23,208 posts

Posted 21 August 2017 - 11:40 AM

Short term resistance ES 2428.75

2429.00


Price and Volume Forensics Specialist

Richard Wyckoff - "Whenever you find hope or fear warping judgment, close out your position"

Volume is the only vote that matters... the ultimate sentiment poll.

http://twitter.com/VolumeDynamics  http://parler.com/Volumedynamics