https://twitter.com/...253146464673794
Some figures to illustrate above.
Are you talking about corporate debt or government debt?
the epicenter of primary wave 3 up is gonna make us
Started by
da_cheif
, Nov 24 2017 10:45 PM
24 replies to this topic
#21
OEXCHAOS
-
- Admin
- 22,015 posts
Mark S. Young
Posted 27 November 2017 - 04:39 PM
Mark S Young
Wall Street Sentiment
Get a free trial here:
http://wallstreetsen...t.com/trial.htm
You can now follow me on twitter
#22
da_cheif
-
- Traders-Talk User
- 10,960 posts
Member
Posted 27 November 2017 - 04:46 PM
rising rates are a product of an exploding economy....the stock markets discounting mechanism is promising both.....the real fun begins when rates start to rise.....the money supply will skyrocket........at a click of a button ....lending button
#23
alexnewbee
-
- Traders-Talk User
- 1,459 posts
Member
Posted 28 November 2017 - 02:00 AM
Bothhttps://twitter.com/...253146464673794
Some figures to illustrate above.
Are you talking about corporate debt or government debt?
"we do G.d's work" Lloyd Blankfein
#24
gm_general
-
- TT Member+
- 1,653 posts
Member
Posted 28 November 2017 - 02:01 PM
https://twitter.com/...253146464673794
Some figures to illustrate above.
On that subject its harder and harder to find the chart I was looking for - one of total interest all on outstanding debt public and private. Quandl site was nice enough to provide it as I have given up on the BEA site after the crazy useless reorganization. Here it is:
http://www.quandl.co...om-1946-to-2016
What I wanted to know was with rate hikes of late and increasing debt is there any effect on the total interest paid - just a bit so far. Its a cost of about $2.5T in interest yearly, it was $2.4 or so before. Which is about 13-14% of (admittedly kludged) GDP. Observe the chart I made which is now about 2 years out of date - in the last 3 recessions they happened when the interest costs exceeded 20% of GDP - when this cost dropped back below 20%, the recession ended. So if rates and increased debt push this above the 20% line, look out. Now is there some other monetary factor that has lowered this threshold? I have no idea. Many real numbers such as real (pre-1994 method) unemployment have been holding at levels they were at since the crash.
#25
da_cheif
-
- Traders-Talk User
- 10,960 posts
Member
Posted 28 November 2017 - 02:10 PM
https://twitter.com/...253146464673794
Some figures to illustrate above.
On that subject its harder and harder to find the chart I was looking for - one of total interest all on outstanding debt public and private. Quandl site was nice enough to provide it as I have given up on the BEA site after the crazy useless reorganization. Here it is:
http://www.quandl.co...om-1946-to-2016
What I wanted to know was with rate hikes of late and increasing debt is there any effect on the total interest paid - just a bit so far. Its a cost of about $2.5T in interest yearly, it was $2.4 or so before. Which is about 13-14% of (admittedly kludged) GDP. Observe the chart I made which is now about 2 years out of date - in the last 3 recessions they happened when the interest costs exceeded 20% of GDP - when this cost dropped back below 20%, the recession ended. So if rates and increased debt push this above the 20% line, look out. Now is there some other monetary factor that has lowered this threshold? I have no idea. Many real numbers such as real (pre-1994 method) unemployment have been holding at levels they were at since the crash.
u worry 2 much
