Jump to content



Photo

Market Before the Crash Video


  • Please log in to reply
4 replies to this topic

#1 MDurkin

MDurkin

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 638 posts

Posted 25 March 2018 - 10:41 AM

https://www.zerohedg...ay-black-monday



#2 CLK

CLK

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 10,787 posts

Posted 25 March 2018 - 11:13 AM

I think the most likely path is a rally tomorrow from lower or gap up doesn't matter, that lasts a couple days,

everybody gets long then they gap it down and crash it.



#3 MDurkin

MDurkin

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 638 posts

Posted 25 March 2018 - 11:32 AM

I think the most likely path is a rally tomorrow from lower or gap up doesn't matter, that lasts a couple days,

everybody gets long then they gap it down and crash it.

Certainly possible.



#4 MaryAM

MaryAM

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 1,200 posts

Posted 25 March 2018 - 12:00 PM

I don't see how they can say the FED's balance sheet is shrinking.  Its still buying those worthless mortgage backed securities at face value making a handful of  people very rich.  AND no one has dared to audit the underlying paper all the way back through the land records.

 

https://fred.stlouis...org/series/MBST



#5 Data

Data

    Member

  • Validating
  • 2,618 posts

Posted 26 March 2018 - 11:41 AM

Securities are down about 40 billion dollars from the start of the shrinkage.   You can compare the most recent release with the one at the end of September.

 

https://www.federalr...v/releases/h41/

 

The holdings should be down 90 billion dollars through the end of March.  I would not be surprised to see a big reduction when bonds expire at the end of the month.  The problem is the Treasury has issued 500+ billion dollars since the end of January.  The final market blowoff was largely result of tax payments resulting in a 98 billion dollar pay down of Treasury debt in December-January.


Edited by Data, 26 March 2018 - 11:42 AM.