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I am a bull, but I don't feel good so far ... this picture is from Tom McClellan


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#1 q4wer

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Posted 16 April 2018 - 12:21 PM

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#2 Chilidawgz

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Posted 16 April 2018 - 12:52 PM

Feeling not so good is exactly what you want :)

 

Stop looking at all those time comparisons, they mean nothing IMO.

 

spx.jpg


Anything can happen...what's happening now?
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#3 da_cheif

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Posted 16 April 2018 - 12:58 PM

good ewavers ignore the mclellan stuff



#4 Chilidawgz

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Posted 16 April 2018 - 01:22 PM

ummm, lower lows (above statement) 

 

must get coffee


Anything can happen...what's happening now?
No one can forecast the future. No one.
 
All stocks (ETF's) are BAD...unless they go up - William O'Neil
When The Time Comes To Buy or Sell, You Won't Want To - Walter Deemer
 
 

#5 cycletimer

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Posted 16 April 2018 - 03:14 PM

Scary chart comparison for sure but I’m nor confident in analogs. They coincide for awhile until they don’t....

#6 LarryT

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Posted 16 April 2018 - 03:48 PM

Well, nothing has changed since the January high, SP-1500 remains on a buy signal, odds are the wave pattern is a wave four off the 1810 low and 3200 is still a solid wave five target. Wave "D" window at 2707 to 2750 remains my focus.

 

LT...d:^)


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d:^)

#7 Data

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Posted 16 April 2018 - 04:40 PM

The best bet for something like that would be in 2019.   The FRB+ECB+BOJ net injections will turn negative in Q1..  Meanwhile, it took 6 months of teasing the 200-day moving average in 2000 and 2007 to build a top.  It's not there yet.



#8 OEXCHAOS

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Posted 16 April 2018 - 05:10 PM

It is just as likely that we follow a 1998-2000 pattern.


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#9 Chilidawgz

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Posted 17 April 2018 - 05:10 AM

down Tuesday?

 

pause.jpg


Anything can happen...what's happening now?
No one can forecast the future. No one.
 
All stocks (ETF's) are BAD...unless they go up - William O'Neil
When The Time Comes To Buy or Sell, You Won't Want To - Walter Deemer
 
 

#10 cycletimer

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Posted 17 April 2018 - 05:53 AM

down Tuesday?

 

pause.jpg

 

Maybe after a Gap UP opening that is faded.  We have two cycle turns over the next week, TODAY, 4/17 and next week 4/27....afterwards are turns on 5/7 and 5/27 (direction of turns is left up to the trader, I don't forecast turns, however I will fade the market at the turn.  This two-day rally I'll fade with tight stops.