BigHouse 1006, there is nothing secret about what I do. I track the dates of a lot of publicly published cycles, periodic events, top/bottom calling indicators, etc. that seem to be regularly coincident with market turns. I plug all their predictions into a big calendar EXCEL spreadsheet, add a very subjective weighting factor depending on how often each has lied to me and then add up the total for each trading day. I know, it's a royal pain in the keister, but it does catch some turns. The theory behind it is quite simple. A lot of folks follow these same market affecting risks and act on them. I highlight days which have the highest number of potential market moving risks. It doesn't always work, but it does surprisingly frequently. When it does fail, it often coincides with sharp moves in the direction of the current trend. I theorize that this is the result of traders who have taken positions based on these risk factors that I track and were forced to reverse their position when the turn didn't work out creating an acceleration in the current trend. If I had the resources, I would love to expand the universe of what I track to improve the turn tool's performance, but I frankly spend too much time on this as it is.
Dasein, I don't understand your question. Every since I started posting here at FF, I have used "Douglas".
Regards,
Douglas