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DB, Commerzbank, German Gov't BAILOUT coming....

Rut Roh

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#1 SemiBizz

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Posted 11 September 2018 - 09:05 AM

This is pretty early for this... it's worse than I thought...

 

@LiveSquawk

Deutsche Bank, Commerzbank And German Government Open To Merger – German Spiegel Magazine

6:54 AM - 11 Sep 2018

 

 

DB SPIKING HIGHER ON BLOWOUT VOLUME...


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#2 SemiBizz

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Posted 11 September 2018 - 10:11 AM

There were signs of arbitrage in yesterday's trading...

 

NOW - Here is all we need to know... Today's Volume will be record level on DB... and with all this volume...

 

Failed to break yesterday's high...

 

That says there is a monster seller in place, especially after seeing the arbitrage on this yesterday...


Price and Volume Forensics Specialist

Richard Wyckoff - "Whenever you find hope or fear warping judgment, close out your position"

Volume is the only vote that matters... the ultimate sentiment poll.

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#3 SemiBizz

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Posted 11 September 2018 - 12:20 PM

Current Solar Data (from NOAA) - GEOMAGNETIC STORM !

 

Playing the Field: Geomagnetic Storms and the Stock Market

 

Explaining movements in daily stock prices is one of the most difficult tasks in modern finance. This paper contributes to the existing literature by documenting the impact of geomagnetic storms on daily stock market returns. A large body of psychological research has shown that geomagnetic storms have a profound effect on people’s moods, and, in turn, people’s moods have been found to be related to human behavior, judgments and decisions about risk. An important finding of this literature is that people often attribute their feelings and emotions to the wrong source, leading to incorrect judgments. Specifically, people affected by geomagnetic storms may be more inclined to sell stocks on stormy days because they incorrectly attribute their bad mood to negative economic prospects rather than bad environmental conditions. Misattribution of mood and pessimistic choices can translate into a relatively higher demand for riskless assets, causing the price of risky assets to fall or to rise less quickly than otherwise. The authors find strong empirical support in favor of a geomagnetic-storm effect in stock returns after controlling for market seasonals and other environmental and behavioral factors. Unusually high levels of geomagnetic activity have a negative, statistically and economically significant effect on the following week’s stock returns for all U.S. stock market indices.

 


Price and Volume Forensics Specialist

Richard Wyckoff - "Whenever you find hope or fear warping judgment, close out your position"

Volume is the only vote that matters... the ultimate sentiment poll.

http://twitter.com/VolumeDynamics


#4 SemiBizz

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Posted 11 September 2018 - 12:54 PM

This is what it looked like this morning over Fairbanks, Alaska

 

alaska_strip.jpg


Price and Volume Forensics Specialist

Richard Wyckoff - "Whenever you find hope or fear warping judgment, close out your position"

Volume is the only vote that matters... the ultimate sentiment poll.

http://twitter.com/VolumeDynamics


#5 SemiBizz

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Posted 12 September 2018 - 09:25 AM

DB TANKING... GAP DOWN... IT IS A TAKE UNDER....


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Richard Wyckoff - "Whenever you find hope or fear warping judgment, close out your position"

Volume is the only vote that matters... the ultimate sentiment poll.

http://twitter.com/VolumeDynamics


#6 SemiBizz

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Posted 12 September 2018 - 09:34 AM

 

Current Solar Data (from NOAA) - GEOMAGNETIC STORM !

 

Playing the Field: Geomagnetic Storms and the Stock Market

 

Explaining movements in daily stock prices is one of the most difficult tasks in modern finance. This paper contributes to the existing literature by documenting the impact of geomagnetic storms on daily stock market returns. A large body of psychological research has shown that geomagnetic storms have a profound effect on people’s moods, and, in turn, people’s moods have been found to be related to human behavior, judgments and decisions about risk. An important finding of this literature is that people often attribute their feelings and emotions to the wrong source, leading to incorrect judgments. Specifically, people affected by geomagnetic storms may be more inclined to sell stocks on stormy days because they incorrectly attribute their bad mood to negative economic prospects rather than bad environmental conditions. Misattribution of mood and pessimistic choices can translate into a relatively higher demand for riskless assets, causing the price of risky assets to fall or to rise less quickly than otherwise. The authors find strong empirical support in favor of a geomagnetic-storm effect in stock returns after controlling for market seasonals and other environmental and behavioral factors. Unusually high levels of geomagnetic activity have a negative, statistically and economically significant effect on the following week’s stock returns for all U.S. stock market indices.

 

 

 

Seems to be working eh?  zipped.gif yes.gif


Price and Volume Forensics Specialist

Richard Wyckoff - "Whenever you find hope or fear warping judgment, close out your position"

Volume is the only vote that matters... the ultimate sentiment poll.

http://twitter.com/VolumeDynamics


#7 Taz

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Posted 12 September 2018 - 05:37 PM

Hi Semi,

 

By arbitrage, are you referring to DB equity and bonds, or DB equity and Commerzbank equity?

 

Cheers beers

 

Taz



#8 SemiBizz

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Posted 13 September 2018 - 07:17 AM

was apparent in DB common on NYSE the day before the announcement...


Price and Volume Forensics Specialist

Richard Wyckoff - "Whenever you find hope or fear warping judgment, close out your position"

Volume is the only vote that matters... the ultimate sentiment poll.

http://twitter.com/VolumeDynamics