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Where will the dow be when there are 80% bulls i wonder LOL


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#1 da_cheif

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Posted 13 September 2018 - 09:06 AM

AAII Survey Results for Week Ending 9/12/2018
Data represents what direction members feel the
stock market will be in next 6 months.

HISTORICAL AVERAGE: 38.5%
?
BULLISH
32.1%
-10.1 Percentage point
change from
last week



#2 OEXCHAOS

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Posted 13 September 2018 - 01:54 PM


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#3 SemiBizz

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Posted 13 September 2018 - 02:09 PM

About 6 mos after it finishes losing 80% of it's value...

 

Everyone will be bullish after a runup off a DJIA low after getting under 6000 or so...

 

Keeps going higher, and yet no sizeable ramp in bulls, so obviously the price has to come down to reset and suck in some more customers...


Edited by SemiBizz, 13 September 2018 - 02:12 PM.

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Volume is the only vote that matters... the ultimate sentiment poll.

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#4 SemiBizz

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Posted 13 September 2018 - 02:33 PM

So 20% bounce in 6 mos... off a 6000 low...

 

7200, everyone will be bulled up again.


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#5 andr99

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Posted 13 September 2018 - 03:03 PM

I would bet one of my four prestige pro 600 which like the prestige classic are now worth 400 euro each one, that when the bulls are 80% we are yet....in the epicenter of primary wave three up.....LOOL. Your epicenter is like taxes...they're always there 

 

https://www.prostock...]=New old stock

 

https://www.prostock...restige-classic


forever and only a V-E-N-E-T-K-E-N.....though partly langbardic


#6 SemiBizz

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Posted 13 September 2018 - 03:24 PM

Don't forget when DJIA hits 6000, a huge portion of today's participants will be out of the market and disgusted with it.

 

The remaining bag holders are the same permabulls we have today, against a backdrop of dramatically reduced participation...

 

So 80% at those prices should be easy.... Permabull number stays constant, overall participation drops dramatically.

 

This will occur some time after the DB "buyout" at the established $3 Broke Bank price...


Edited by SemiBizz, 13 September 2018 - 03:25 PM.

Price and Volume Forensics Specialist

Richard Wyckoff - "Whenever you find hope or fear warping judgment, close out your position"

Volume is the only vote that matters... the ultimate sentiment poll.

http://twitter.com/VolumeDynamics


#7 da_cheif

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Posted 13 September 2018 - 05:29 PM

Don't forget when DJIA hits 6000, a huge portion of today's participants will be out of the market and disgusted with it.

 

The remaining bag holders are the same permabulls we have today, against a backdrop of dramatically reduced participation...

 

So 80% at those prices should be easy.... Permabull number stays constant, overall participation drops dramatically.

 

This will occur some time after the DB "buyout" at the established $3 Broke Bank price...

you seem unhappy bout something....675ono   lmao



#8 LMF

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Posted 13 September 2018 - 06:11 PM

The circumstances to get the DJIA under 10,000 would not ever be pretty.  Just look at the 2009 bottom... AAII bulls were consistently below 40 percent most of the time, and rarely above 50 percent.  Since January 2015, AAII bulls have been above 50 percent just 4 times out of roughly 192 weeks.  By far, the most hated bull market ever.  From stockcharts the record bulls level is 75 during the 2000 top, so it can definitely happen when a top is forming for real.  We're just a few light years away from that right now.....it's too simple, I'll just keep waiting for AAPL PE ratio > 100.



#9 da_cheif

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Posted 13 September 2018 - 06:49 PM

noze bleeds and fear of heights will keep most off the long side and when j6p finally wakes up to the bull....he will start praying for a pullback....thats why so few made it to the top of k2    watch the sky the dows divisor  is now a multiplier.,.the bizz of most on this thread is being bearish.....only the minority see whats coming



#10 CLK

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Posted 13 September 2018 - 07:46 PM

We need new highs also with divergent margin debt. Looks like inv. negative credit made new highs with the market.

 

https://www.advisorp...-and-the-market

 

Just follow price, what else can you do ?