3 replies to this topic

[cycletimer]

https://firechecklis...rian-trade-tlt/

[LMF]

The limiter on the 30 year bond yield for decades has been the 100 month EMA......currently at 3.251.  And the high so far this month at 3.248.  At some point in the future there will be a monthly close above the limiter, but until then the bond bull market is still going.  I just don't like the look of the large HS top on the $USB chart.....the left shoulder is back in 2015.  Trying to figure out that chart gives me a headache.....way easier to trade the NDX here.  In the longer term I don't think the bottom in the 30 year yield is in yet either.....that should occur during the next recession.

[PrintFaster]

Bonds sitting right on the "Do or Die" line.

 

[PrintFaster]

And the spec short position is pretty lopsided....