nice call
crash coming
#21
Posted 21 November 2018 - 01:17 AM
#22
Posted 21 November 2018 - 10:19 AM
Global inflationary boom has run it's course, deflation now. Your 675 stop will get tested again.
Sell your house and all hard assets. Raise cash and short the SPX. LOL !
Edited by NAV, 21 November 2018 - 10:20 AM.
#23
Posted 21 November 2018 - 12:59 PM
Global inflationary boom has run it's course, deflation now. Your 675 stop will get tested again.
Sell your house and all hard assets. Raise cash and short the SPX. LOL !
You laugh but that looks like pretty good advice to me.
Especially the house part. My house, according to Zillow, is going up $20K to $30K A MONTH! Now it's back to just above 2007 levels. Feels great every time I read the report. Wow, another 30K and all I had to do was make breakfast and sit at my desk.
Obviously, that was not sustainable in 2007 and it is not sustainable now. Make me an offer.
"If you've heard this story before, don't stop me because I'd like to hear it again," Groucho Marx (on market history?).
“I've learned in options trading simple is best and the obvious is often the most elusive to recognize.”
"The god of trading rewards persistence, experience and discipline, and absolutely nothing else."
#24
Posted 24 November 2018 - 01:25 AM
Global inflationary boom has run it's course, deflation now. Your 675 stop will get tested again.
Sell your house and all hard assets. Raise cash and short the SPX. LOL !
You laugh but that looks like pretty good advice to me.
Especially the house part. My house, according to Zillow, is going up $20K to $30K A MONTH! Now it's back to just above 2007 levels. Feels great every time I read the report. Wow, another 30K and all I had to do was make breakfast and sit at my desk.
Obviously, that was not sustainable in 2007 and it is not sustainable now. Make me an offer.
Hang on to your hard assets. Don't trade it for paper. Inflation will make your cash worthless. Don't go homeless.
Have faith in mankind's ability to pull itself out of crises, recessions and disruptions. The future is much brighter than the cassandras think.
Even if the real estate drops 50%, it will still be above 2008 crises levels in most good neighborhoods.
Edited by NAV, 24 November 2018 - 01:26 AM.
#25
Posted 24 November 2018 - 01:13 PM
US$ is going to surprise everyone, time to raise US$ cash, wait for the dollar denominated debt crisis to abate and then move into commodity currencies when the commodities finally catch a bid, a couple of years away... like NZ$. We all have to eat, and that's their economy.
It's amazing how many actually believe this low-rate, no-rate, negative-rate, QE-fueled global economy is sustainable...
What goes around comes around, it's all about the CYCLES...
Richard Wyckoff - "Whenever you find hope or fear warping judgment, close out your position"
Volume is the only vote that matters... the ultimate sentiment poll.
http://twitter.com/VolumeDynamics http://parler.com/Volumedynamics
#26
Posted 24 November 2018 - 01:19 PM
Looking in rear view mirror, the "bull" market was built on ZIRP, since corporate earnings expansion was bad until 2017.
Looking forward, watch where FED is willing to take interest rates in 2019. Any further market drop could save the market from falling further by scaring the FED.wron
wrong.....TA made it all predictable....675 ono
Looking in rear view mirror, the "bull" market was built on ZIRP, since corporate earnings expansion was bad until 2017.
Looking forward, watch where FED is willing to take interest rates in 2019. Any further market drop could save the market from falling further by scaring the FED.wron
wrong.....TA made it all predictable....675 ono
If TA is so great why none of the TA experts clued us in about the November decline?
WTF... I did... on 10.10.18 I gave three targets, and was within 3.5-points of the ~2600 low.
#27
Posted 25 November 2018 - 05:09 PM
Looking in rear view mirror, the "bull" market was built on ZIRP, since corporate earnings expansion was bad until 2017.
Looking forward, watch where FED is willing to take interest rates in 2019. Any further market drop could save the market from falling further by scaring the FED.wron
wrong.....TA made it all predictable....675 ono
Looking in rear view mirror, the "bull" market was built on ZIRP, since corporate earnings expansion was bad until 2017.
Looking forward, watch where FED is willing to take interest rates in 2019. Any further market drop could save the market from falling further by scaring the FED.wron
wrong.....TA made it all predictable....675 ono
If TA is so great why none of the TA experts clued us in about the November decline?
WTF... I did... on 10.10.18 I gave three targets, and was within 3.5-points of the ~2600 low.
Yep, it's called L.O.L.!
Swing Those Lines: I can calculate the motion of heavenly bodies, but not the madness of people! -- Issac Newton