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ST Bullish, IT Bullish - Bears attack during night session


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#11 beta

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Posted 14 December 2018 - 01:25 PM

I have a different wave count: (3) of (3) of (3) DOWN.


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#12 ryanoo

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Posted 14 December 2018 - 01:53 PM

I have a different wave count: (3) of (3) of (3) DOWN.

Can you show your chart?

there are 3's here too ... 

geogdrift.jpeg



#13 beta

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Posted 14 December 2018 - 02:01 PM

Sorry cant post.   Just buy inverse ETF or AMZN puts, and hold on for the ride.   

 

Not too late to panic ... yet.


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#14 dTraderB

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Posted 14 December 2018 - 02:18 PM

Repeated assaults on the SPX 2600 critical level.

Market has been battered, intense selling, and if it does not hold here then 

a daily close below SPX 2600 can lead to a SPX 2400 handle in a few days. 

SPX 2400 handle may appear to be far away but with SPX at 2605, it is only 106 SPX points away.

 

However, I still regard current behavior of the market as "hammering out an IT bottom" that will then lead to a rally for rest of year and into early January 2019.



#15 12SPX

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Posted 14 December 2018 - 02:22 PM

Repeated assaults on the SPX 2600 critical level.

Market has been battered, intense selling, and if it does not hold here then 

a daily close below SPX 2600 can lead to a SPX 2400 handle in a few days. 

SPX 2400 handle may appear to be far away but with SPX at 2605, it is only 106 SPX points away.

 

However, I still regard current behavior of the market as "hammering out an IT bottom" that will then lead to a rally for rest of year and into early January 2019.

Yes I agree think the close will reveal quite a bit.  I think the volume is telling a lot.



#16 dTraderB

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Posted 14 December 2018 - 04:02 PM

There you see why I don't trade near IT or LT lows, near that range. 

 

This type of market behavior may continue, between SP 2580 and 2620, for some time until it resolves one way  - up or down. 

 

SPX finishes at 2600

 

There still may be unfinished business to the downside before the year nd rally. 

 

Bought 5 MARCH 2019 SPY 260 CALLS



#17 Waver

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Posted 14 December 2018 - 09:42 PM

tsharp
Your correction/triangle still active or no longer valid?

#18 tsharp

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Posted 15 December 2018 - 12:23 AM

tsharp
Your correction/triangle still active or no longer valid?

 

Either it completed today or has extended until after the new year... I think the latter makes more sense at this time - wave-c:iv would equal wave-a:iv on or about 1.8.19.  My SAR swing signal is still short from 2660.

 

 

SP00-240-12-14-18-1.jpg

 

 

SPX-D-12-14-18.jpg



#19 tsharp

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Posted 15 December 2018 - 10:18 AM

My perspective via the SPX weekly... I see this transition as similar to the wave-iv low in the previous 1998-2000 top... the rise then was IN SPITE of the issues at the time, whereas the rise now will be the perfect storm - BECAUSE of the issues: Brexit, continuing LT bear market in gold, beginning of the LT bear market in bonds (rising rates), bear market in Europe, bear market in Asia - capital will continue flowing to the US dollar and equities.

 

I also see the next leg upward as being similar to the EDT that completed in 2000... wave-a:iv was about 14-weeks, wave-c:iv will be about 14-weeks in the early part of January 2019... watching.

 

 

SPX-W-12-14-18.jpg