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Intermediate Trend commentary


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#201 EntropyModel

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Posted 15 January 2019 - 11:40 AM

yep Price is a signal - when it jumps pivots, especially at opens...

 

Still, so far the upside is very disappointing on SPX/dow  - very minor range expansion, spx print high so far 2606 ..i'd need

a magnifying glass to call that a major rally Kaiser tongue.png

 

To me this looks like OPEX x-games nonsense...we should have zoomed to at least 2630 here, or reversed hard off the spike above 2600 ...got neither..so I fear we're going to 

stay range bound into Friday giving us 2 weeks in tiny range ...geez!  There bit more TIME here today for upside to get going, but its running out on my signals, so

then likely to drop back into the range.


Question everything, especially what you believe you know. The foundation of science is questioning the data, not trusting the data. I only trust fully falsified, non vested interest 'data', which is extremely rare in our world of paid framing narratives 'psy ops'. Market Comments https://markdavidson.substack.com/?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLznkbTx_dpw_-Y9bBN3QR-tiNSsFsSojB

#202 catrader

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Posted 16 January 2019 - 12:02 AM

Entropy,

 

Shorter-term "investment-grade" bonds were selling off in the first half of December.  They were a safe harbor during the stock market sell off in October/November.  Curiously, they were already making a higher low in the latter stages of selloff in December.  Does it ring any bell regarding your LQ thesis?

 

https://c.stockchart...r=1547614429734



#203 EntropyModel

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Posted 16 January 2019 - 09:22 AM

Entropy,

 

Shorter-term "investment-grade" bonds were selling off in the first half of December.  They were a safe harbor during the stock market sell off in October/November.  Curiously, they were already making a higher low in the latter stages of selloff in December.  Does it ring any bell regarding your LQ thesis?

 

https://c.stockchart...r=1547614429734

 

I can't view the chart Catrader - don't know if its a stockchart problem, or access problem.


Edited by Entropy3.0, 16 January 2019 - 09:22 AM.

Question everything, especially what you believe you know. The foundation of science is questioning the data, not trusting the data. I only trust fully falsified, non vested interest 'data', which is extremely rare in our world of paid framing narratives 'psy ops'. Market Comments https://markdavidson.substack.com/?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLznkbTx_dpw_-Y9bBN3QR-tiNSsFsSojB

#204 EntropyModel

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Posted 16 January 2019 - 10:03 AM

FYI - very surprising to me, new ST LQ up move here this AM - so, to da moon apparently here riding the magic carpet of LQ.

Have to see if its a new pulse or just for OPEX.


Question everything, especially what you believe you know. The foundation of science is questioning the data, not trusting the data. I only trust fully falsified, non vested interest 'data', which is extremely rare in our world of paid framing narratives 'psy ops'. Market Comments https://markdavidson.substack.com/?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLznkbTx_dpw_-Y9bBN3QR-tiNSsFsSojB

#205 EntropyModel

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Posted 16 January 2019 - 11:16 AM

FYI - very surprising to me, new ST LQ up move here this AM - so, to da moon apparently here riding the magic carpet of LQ.

Have to see if its a new pulse or just for OPEX.

 Meh - pure OPEX b.s. market here ..every sick little game they can think of here last 2 days... time to go mow the lawn :-)


Question everything, especially what you believe you know. The foundation of science is questioning the data, not trusting the data. I only trust fully falsified, non vested interest 'data', which is extremely rare in our world of paid framing narratives 'psy ops'. Market Comments https://markdavidson.substack.com/?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLznkbTx_dpw_-Y9bBN3QR-tiNSsFsSojB

#206 Waver

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Posted 16 January 2019 - 11:17 AM

LQ is getting stronger simply because people are bringing in cash into accounts and/or deploying it into the stock market.

Correct?



#207 EntropyModel

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Posted 16 January 2019 - 11:26 AM

LQ is getting stronger simply because people are bringing in cash into accounts and/or deploying it into the stock market.

Correct?

 

If by 'people' u mean retail - then no, I don't measure any LQ off retail, they don't matter much to CAUSING changes to directional moves, too small relative to the 80% bots/pension funds/Credit monsters.( they do contribute LQ, but in trending following, not trend turning) I have posted alot on this already, this also covers it a bit

http://www.traders-t...ntary/?p=796175

 

Also ST LQ is totally different as said from all other LQ (which I look at EOD daily stuff ) as i've explained at length.


Edited by Entropy3.0, 16 January 2019 - 11:27 AM.

Question everything, especially what you believe you know. The foundation of science is questioning the data, not trusting the data. I only trust fully falsified, non vested interest 'data', which is extremely rare in our world of paid framing narratives 'psy ops'. Market Comments https://markdavidson.substack.com/?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLznkbTx_dpw_-Y9bBN3QR-tiNSsFsSojB

#208 Waver

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Posted 16 January 2019 - 01:32 PM

Thanks Etropy
Essentially I should have said Big Money (not small retail) coming into accounts.

#209 EntropyModel

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Posted 16 January 2019 - 02:19 PM

Thanks Etropy
Essentially I should have said Big Money (not small retail) coming into accounts.

 

wrt: LQ is getting stronger simply because people are bringing in cash into accounts and/or deploying it into the stock market.

Correct?

 

Correct Waver for the DAILY LQ signals ..yes.

 

For the ST LQ and very short term - I've explained where I believe that comes from, it's complicated, otherwise it wd be too obvious  - but to put it over simply, Wall street

has a button marked 'push for market support today' ...infact, FED has a button as well marked 'disable the Wall street button' .. this isn't coming from 'accounts', its

coming out of 'thin air' and 'disappears into thin air' ..much like most of our 'money' i.e. credit  ...but it leaves a 'footprint' I can track ... 

 

FYI - today is another HISTORIC first, following the record ST LQ injection, we dropped to neutral as said, but today rising again..that's never happened, and also

following the extreme peak signal sell I showed, has never happened ..so, we in a one off historic data point here for sure.


Edited by Entropy3.0, 16 January 2019 - 02:25 PM.

Question everything, especially what you believe you know. The foundation of science is questioning the data, not trusting the data. I only trust fully falsified, non vested interest 'data', which is extremely rare in our world of paid framing narratives 'psy ops'. Market Comments https://markdavidson.substack.com/?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLznkbTx_dpw_-Y9bBN3QR-tiNSsFsSojB

#210 EntropyModel

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Posted 16 January 2019 - 03:47 PM

Is the OPEX b.s. done? ....probably not but under 2615 it might be, under 2600 high odds it is, and we can finally go down.. assuming

 VST LQ stops rising ..has turned down a bit here.


Question everything, especially what you believe you know. The foundation of science is questioning the data, not trusting the data. I only trust fully falsified, non vested interest 'data', which is extremely rare in our world of paid framing narratives 'psy ops'. Market Comments https://markdavidson.substack.com/?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLznkbTx_dpw_-Y9bBN3QR-tiNSsFsSojB