LOL.... It is possible the next move for the VIX will surprise traders, but I'll be keeping it small and staying nimble.
The VXF daily chart below is clear on when to buy and sell in a market controlled by buy programs. I will change if I need to, but for now it's clear. I track Sentiment, Cycles and a few other indicators, but as long has VXF stays above the 9 EMA and the 13 DMA I will stay long. You will get some whipsaws and sometimes I buy early, but I use Risk Management when buying tranches....
You can see this on my charts below and you could use your own data. Maybe even have a better system. I like to keep mine very simple. VXF is the S Fund at TSP and many buy and sell this type fund often. It's a better snapshot of the entire market then just using the S&P 500. If you buy both you now have the total stock market of around 5000 stocks. Much less then 5000 stocks these days.
I'm currently using a 15min, 1 hour, and daily chart for trading. The daily is for the Vanguard funds and the others are for VST trading. When it all stops working I will modify them, but for now the trend really is your friend. That is thanks to the Buy Backs and the buy programs that continue to just BTFD!
My daily chart... VXF is the fund I have used for many years 4500 mid and small cap stocks. My system is as simple as you can get. The VST trading is much harder due to using leverage. I do have a few paid services I use, and I trade GDXJ the most.
https://stockcharts....019&a=652877536
Bottom Line: It will be clear to you whenever I buy and sell, but sometimes I buy early or bigger tranches at extremes... Like Dec 2018 bottom... I was buying some tranches early Brother, and they were much larger then I usually buy! That is were the sentiment comes in and other indicators I use....
Edited by robo, 19 March 2019 - 09:51 PM.