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DJIA update 11/03/03


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#1 btreehouse

btreehouse

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Posted 03 November 2003 - 06:50 PM

In the previous update of October 29, 2003, higher price was expected. Though my personal indicators were on sell, I elected to take no trade having closed out a trade with a small loss. My comment was I didn't intend to fight the trend.

As shown by the chart below. The system is now flat with the Volume Ocs above my proprietary while the (non ratio adj) McC Osc is still below. For a sell or a buy, both volume and breadth (McC) must be either above or below my proprietary. So no new positions are being taken as of yet.

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However, we may be very close to a new short position. But comfirmation will be required for me to initiate such a position. Comfirmation I do not have yet and if you view closely the above chart of the system update, you will notice all the indicators (Vol, McC & Proprietary) are trending up, even in the short-term.

In that last update, I illustrated some of what I was looking for in a chart before a potential top may be at hand and I also hypothesized a rally with a top near 9890. It is interesting that today's high was 9896 (cash print basis).

The chart below illustrates the fulfillment of what I was looking for.

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The shorter term chart also illustrates the bearish divergence and includes a possible Elliottwave count

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Good luck,