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OEX: 7 or 8 % correction coming or has started


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#1 eminimee

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Posted 18 January 2007 - 10:05 AM

A chance that OEX has seen it's top or may have one more small high coming....I'm starting a collection of May puts.

a daily and 2 weekly's....second weekly is if 615 and especially 604 fails to hold. If OEX has topped....I think most markets have topped.

http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$OEX&p=D&yr=2&mn=1&dy=0&i=p17993434660&a=82315405&r=8692.png

http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$OEX&p=W&yr=10&mn=0&dy=0&i=p91399792507&a=83876953&r=1076.png

http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$OEX&p=W&yr=9&mn=0&dy=0&i=p89653855509&a=81097608&r=3395.png

#2 Cirrus

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Posted 18 January 2007 - 10:14 AM

This is a pretty big sell program and it looks futures driven IMO given breadth.

#3 greenie

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Posted 18 January 2007 - 10:16 AM

nice work EM (Oops Tp) !! Very instructive.
It is not the doing that is difficult, but the knowing


It's the illiquidity, stupid !

#4 IndexTrader

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Posted 18 January 2007 - 10:17 AM

What do you mean you're bullish as hell? Why would you be bullish with a large correction coming, if it in fact does? What am I missing here? IT

#5 spielchekr

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Posted 18 January 2007 - 10:22 AM

Me bullish too, post-correction that is.

#6 greenie

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Posted 18 January 2007 - 10:23 AM

What do you mean you're bullish as hell? Why would you be bullish with a large correction coming, if it in fact does? What am I missing here?

IT


bullish in puts.
It is not the doing that is difficult, but the knowing


It's the illiquidity, stupid !

#7 eminimee

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Posted 18 January 2007 - 10:26 AM

If you look at the middle chart you'll know what I mean.....I guess I was too subtle in my title...I figured that if anyone looked at the charts they would "get it"....of course I'm bearish ...why would I be buying puts......but I'm very bullish if a successful test of the 615 area happens.

#8 IndexTrader

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Posted 18 January 2007 - 10:47 AM

If you look at the middle chart you'll know what I mean.....I guess I was too subtle in my title...I figured that if anyone looked at the charts they would "get it"....of course I'm bearish ...why would I be buying puts......but I'm very bullish if a successful test of the 615 area happens.


You change your opinions fairly rapidly. Yesterday you were expecting a coming "5th". Today you're expecting a correction. :lol: Throw in the bullish subtitle and it was enough to confuse. Sorry about that.

IT

#9 eminimee

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Posted 18 January 2007 - 11:05 AM

I'm still thinking we can do a 5th.....it's the Fed that has me leaning towards a top there or a few day later....Yes, I'm expecting that big correction but trading short term as I have....I've always kept the door open for a higher high 5th....so when you say I'm changing my mind....I'm not....I'm trading short term in both directions....so that statement was a little unfair.

surprisingly VXO has only popped from 10 to 10.76

re NQ:
I keep leaning towards a top with the FED or soon after...
ES on that 5 min. looks similar to this ....maybe ES has just made at wave 2 low noted on here


Posted Image
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INDU pattern would fit nicely too......but if it worked out that way....spx may ZZ down to the 1421/22 area before the final 5th of ED.


Posted Image
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Edited by Teaparty, 18 January 2007 - 11:09 AM.


#10 eminimee

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Posted 18 January 2007 - 11:18 AM

If a top is in on OEX ..we must get a daily close south of 659