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USD: it's all about the index you choose


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#1 jawndissedi

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Posted 14 February 2007 - 10:25 PM

Here's the chart that gets most of the attention and makes the goldbugs get excited:

Posted Image

But guess what? That's not the chart Prof. Bernanke & Co. cares most about. The index that has the greatest influence on the Fed is most likely the Broad Dollar index:

Posted Image

The Broad Dollar Index utilizes currencies from many more trading partners/countries, weights them according to actual trade flows and updates the weightings every year. China and Mexico currently comprise almost 25% of the index while neither shows up in either the U.S. Dollar Index or the Major Currencies Dollar Index.

Does that look like a currency on the brink collapse to you?

Data and charts courtesy of Ron Griess, thechartstore.com., reproduced here with permission.
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#2 TradeMark

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Posted 14 February 2007 - 11:07 PM

Very Interesting. Thanks for posting. Do you know what the symbols are of these various indexes so one could look at them on a daily basis? I can't find them, or maybe I don't have the names right. thanks TM

#3 fauxpas13

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Posted 15 February 2007 - 01:10 AM

Do you know what the symbols are of these various indexes so one could look at them on a daily basis?


$USD is symbol for dollar (DX) at stockcharts.com

link to the dx futures (delayed) futuresource.com dollar index chart

#4 TradeMark

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Posted 15 February 2007 - 01:40 AM

Thanks, faux TM

#5 jawndissedi

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Posted 15 February 2007 - 02:01 AM

Very Interesting. Thanks for posting.



Do you know what the symbols are of these various indexes so one could look at them on a daily basis?

I can't find them, or maybe I don't have the names right.



thanks

TM

The data for the Broad Dollar Index comes directly from the Fed's website. I'm not sure how frequently it's updated.
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#6 TradeMark

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Posted 15 February 2007 - 02:20 AM

Thanks jaw, needed symbol for that one even more I'll check out Fed TM

#7 beta

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Posted 15 February 2007 - 02:47 AM

That broad dollar index looks cooked, too. Target 60. :o
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#8 pdx5

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Posted 15 February 2007 - 11:21 AM

Dollar index based on ACTUAL TRADING VOLUMES... Now that makes very good sense! Thanks for posting. I learned something new today... which is unusual because I know so darn much already :D
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#9 Russ

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Posted 15 February 2007 - 12:23 PM

Broad dollar index looks to be headed for 60 in the long run.

Here's the chart that gets most of the attention and makes the goldbugs get excited:

Posted Image

But guess what? That's not the chart Prof. Bernanke & Co. cares most about. The index that has the greatest influence on the Fed is most likely the Broad Dollar index:

Posted Image

The Broad Dollar Index utilizes currencies from many more trading partners/countries, weights them according to actual trade flows and updates the weightings every year. China and Mexico currently comprise almost 25% of the index while neither shows up in either the U.S. Dollar Index or the Major Currencies Dollar Index.

Does that look like a currency on the brink collapse to you?

Data and charts courtesy of Ron Griess, thechartstore.com., reproduced here with permission.


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