I did. Maybe you can provide a chart to show the consistency?You need to read my blog before you comment.
Thanks
Fib
Posted 19 February 2007 - 06:47 PM
I did. Maybe you can provide a chart to show the consistency?You need to read my blog before you comment.
Better to ignore me than abhor me.
“Wise men don't need advice. Fools won't take it” - Benjamin Franklin
"Beware of false knowledge; it is more dangerous than ignorance" - George Bernard Shaw
Demagogue: A leader who makes use of popular prejudices, false claims and promises in order to gain power.
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Posted 19 February 2007 - 08:40 PM
I did. Maybe you can provide a chart to show the consistency?You need to read my blog before you comment.
Thanks
Fib
Posted 19 February 2007 - 08:56 PM
Posted 20 February 2007 - 01:53 PM
Better to ignore me than abhor me.
“Wise men don't need advice. Fools won't take it” - Benjamin Franklin
"Beware of false knowledge; it is more dangerous than ignorance" - George Bernard Shaw
Demagogue: A leader who makes use of popular prejudices, false claims and promises in order to gain power.
Technical Watch Subscriptions
Posted 20 February 2007 - 06:49 PM
Thanks for taking the time to mark up the chart Russ.
As I mentioned earlier, "this cycle would fit well with the bear market period between 1998 and 2002, but it would be stretching the point if you tried to fit this analysis prior to this same time period." You've made this point pretty clear with your selective annotations on the chart, and where having "billions to one statistical significance" might be pushing the point a bit.
I do fully understand that cycle work can be judgmental, no less, subjective in scope. Nothing is really perfect when it comes to this kind of stuff, but there is enough of an inconsistency to this cycle that it can be called questionable as to its forecasting merit.
As far as the original topic is concerned, one may also make note of the 1989 to 1994 period where just because a cycle top can be anticipated as it relates to a business cycle, this doesn't necessarily directly translate that the price pattern will also co-operate to what this (or any cycle) might suggest within this same cyclical concept.
Fib
Edited by Russ, 20 February 2007 - 06:50 PM.
Posted 20 February 2007 - 09:33 PM
Sigh...fine...you're right, I'm a liar...always have been...always will be.All this is on my blog which shows that despite your claims you did not read it.
Better to ignore me than abhor me.
“Wise men don't need advice. Fools won't take it” - Benjamin Franklin
"Beware of false knowledge; it is more dangerous than ignorance" - George Bernard Shaw
Demagogue: A leader who makes use of popular prejudices, false claims and promises in order to gain power.
Technical Watch Subscriptions