4 replies to this topic

[dcengr]

You can go through all these... the recurring theme is pretty clear. Bullishness, as measured by these surveys, are at highs. They're not at all-time-highs, maybe..

State Street

Rasmussen Poll

Merrill Lynch Survey

Some of the other polls:

TT poll still showing bearishness

Blogger poll now showing bullishness

Low risk showing bearishness

II poll now neutral

[Rogerdodger]

Sentimentrader.com moving more bullish again tonight.

[dcengr]

Sentimentrader.com moving more bullish again tonight.

RUT, MID, NYA, DOW, S&P, IXIC, DJT all made new highs today. I'm surprised that arrow hasn't fallen off the bottom yet.

[dcengr]

I'll also repost my AAII, Blogger, and II polls for reference: AAII Data Bull Neutral Bear Bull% 4MA 10/11/06 48.98 13.27 37.76 56.47% 10/18/06 54.20 16.03 29.77 64.55% 10/25/06 52.17 17.39 30.43 63.16% 11/02/06 43.75 19.38 36.88 54.26% 59.61% 11/08/06 50.60 22.89 26.51 65.62% 61.90% 11/15/06 46.56 22.90 30.53 60.40% 60.86% 11/22/06 41.94 16.13 41.94 50.00% 57.57% 11/29/06 40.22 12.29 47.49 45.86% 55.47% 12/06/06 38.94 19.47 41.59 48.35% 51.15% 12/14/06 41.33 20.67 38.00 52.10% 49.08% 12/20/06 39.08 18.39 42.53 47.89% 48.55% 12/27/06 46.00 18.00 36.00 56.10% 51.11% 01/03/07 49.14 21.55 29.31 62.64% 54.68% 01/10/07 44.44 21.30 34.26 56.47% 55.77% 01/17/07 57.58 15.15 27.27 67.86% 60.77% 01/24/07 39.51 27.16 33.33 54.24% 60.30% 01/31/07 46.32 23.16 30.53 60.27% 59.71% 02/07/07 46.15 23.85 30.00 60.60% 60.75% 02/14/07 47.57 21.36 31.07 60.49% 58.90% II Data Bull Bear Bull% Bull-Bear Ratio 4MA 09/19/06 47.4 33.7 58.45% 13.7 1.41 09/26/06 47.4 33.7 58.45% 13.7 1.41 10/03/06 49.5 33.3 59.78% 16.2 1.49 10/10/06 52.2 30.4 63.20% 21.8 1.72 59.97% 10/18/06 52.2 30 63.50% 22.2 1.74 61.23% 10/25/06 52.7 30.1 63.65% 22.6 1.75 62.53% 11/01/06 53.7 28.4 65.41% 25.3 1.89 63.94% 11/08/06 52.1 26 66.71% 26.1 2.00 64.82% 11/15/06 56.4 22.3 71.66% 34.1 2.53 66.86% 11/22/06 58.5 22.3 72.40% 36.2 2.62 69.05% 11/28/06 57.5 22.3 72.06% 35.2 2.58 70.71% 12/06/06 59.8 23.9 71.45% 35.9 2.50 71.89% 12/13/06 59.6 21.3 73.67% 38.3 2.80 72.39% 12/20/06 58.8 20.6 74.06% 38.2 2.85 72.81% 12/27/06 56.5 19.6 74.24% 36.9 2.88 73.35% 01/03/07 55.3 21.3 72.19% 34 2.60 73.54% 01/10/07 55.4 20.7 72.80% 34.7 2.68 73.32% 01/17/07 50.5 22.1 69.56% 28.4 2.29 72.20% 01/24/07 52.7 20.9 71.60% 31.8 2.52 71.54% 01/31/07 53.3 21.1 71.64% 32.2 2.53 71.40% 02/07/07 52.2 22.2 70.16% 30 2.35 70.74% 02/14/07 51.1 21.1 70.78% 30 2.42 71.04% Ticker Sense Bull Bear Neutral Bull % 4 MA 07/10/06 28.57 31.43 40.00 47.62% 07/17/06 30.00 42.50 27.50 41.38% 07/24/06 32.50 37.50 30.00 46.43% 07/31/06 36.36 45.45 18.18 44.44% 44.97% 08/07/06 33.33 45.24 21.43 42.42% 43.67% 08/14/06 30.56 47.22 22.22 39.29% 43.15% 08/21/06 38.10 42.86 19.05 47.06% 43.30% 08/28/06 42.22 40.00 17.78 51.35% 45.03% 09/05/06 36.59 36.59 26.83 50.00% 46.93% 09/11/06 33.33 45.24 21.43 42.42% 47.71% 09/18/06 34.78 43.48 21.74 44.44% 47.05% 09/25/06 33.33 50.00 16.67 40.00% 44.21% 10/02/06 40.00 45.00 15.00 47.06% 43.48% 10/16/06 45.00 35.00 20.00 56.25% 46.94% 10/23/06 35.00 40.00 25.00 46.67% 47.49% 10/30/06 35.71 40.48 23.81 46.87% 49.21% 11/06/06 27.91 44.19 27.91 38.71% 47.12% 11/13/06 23.26 41.86 34.88 35.72% 41.99% 11/20/06 22.73 40.91 36.36 35.72% 39.25% 12/04/06 23.81 42.86 33.33 35.71% 36.46% 12/11/06 20.00 48.57 31.43 29.17% 34.08% 12/18/06 29.63 29.63 40.74 50.00% 37.65% 12/25/06 21.88 34.38 43.75 38.89% 38.44% 01/08/07 25.00 40.00 35.00 38.46% 39.13% 01/15/07 25.71 28.57 45.71 47.37% 43.68% 01/22/07 21.62 45.95 32.43 32.00% 39.18% 01/29/07 18.92 51.35 29.73 26.92% 36.19% 02/05/07 32.26 38.71 29.03 45.46% 37.94% 02/12/07 35.29 32.35 32.35 52.17% 39.14% 02/20/07 32.35 29.41 38.24 52.38% 44.23%

[OEXCHAOS]

dcengr,



II is generally viewed as "overly bullish" and thus Bearish for the market at any Bull/Bear reading north of 2.0. We're still up there for 18 weeks and counting.



Mark

You can go through all these... the recurring theme is pretty clear. Bullishness, as measured by these surveys, are at highs. They're not at all-time-highs, maybe..

State Street

Rasmussen Poll

Merrill Lynch Survey

Some of the other polls:

TT poll still showing bearishness

Blogger poll now showing bullishness

Low risk showing bearishness

II poll now neutral