Jump to content



Photo

Why is so much mainstream "science" bogus?


  • Please log in to reply
12 replies to this topic

#11 stocks

stocks

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 4,550 posts

Posted 02 March 2017 - 09:11 AM

If we cannot trust the academic literature of medicine for an objective view of reality, whom can we trust? I will not attempt to answer that question but I do want to point out that it is crystal clear that we CANNOT trust the academic medical literature. 

Clinging to disproven theories is also rampant in my own field of academic specialization -- psychology -- but, fortunately, nobody takes much notice of psychologists.
 

 

Editor asked to resign from journal for saying he’ll review only papers whose data he can see.

 

An editor on the board of a journal published by the prestigious American Psychological Association (APA) has been asked to resign in a controversy over data sharing in peer review.

 

Gert Storms — who says he won’t step down — is one of a few hundred scientists who have vowed that, from the start of this year, they will begin rejecting papers if authors won’t publicly share the underlying data, or explain why they can’t.

 

 

http://www.nature.co...=TWT_NatureNews


-- -
Defenders of the status quo are always stronger than reformers seeking change, 
UNTIL the status quo self-destructs from its own corruption, and the reformers are free to build on its ashes.
 

#12 stocks

stocks

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 4,550 posts

Posted 30 March 2017 - 08:28 AM

Fewer than 1 percent of papers published in scientific journals follow the scientific method, according to research by Wharton School professor and forecasting expert J. Scott Armstrong.  

 

Armstrong defined eight criteria for compliance with the scientific method, including full disclosure of methods, data, and other reliable information, conclusions that are consistent with the evidence, valid and simple methods, and valid and reliable data.  

 

According to Armstrong, very little of the forecasting in climate change debate adheres to these criteria.  

 

Armstrong pointed to the wealth of incentives for publishing papers with politically convenient rather than scientific conclusions.

 

“My big thing is advocacy. People are asked to come up with certain answers, and in our whole field that’s been a general movement ever since I’ve been here, and it just gets worse every year. And the reason is funded research.”  

 

http://www.breitbart...entific-method/

 


-- -
Defenders of the status quo are always stronger than reformers seeking change, 
UNTIL the status quo self-destructs from its own corruption, and the reformers are free to build on its ashes.
 

#13 stocks

stocks

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 4,550 posts

Posted 03 May 2017 - 08:24 AM

Epidemiology vs Real Science

 

The "easy" area of medical research is epidemiology: Take a large group of patients. Get reports from them on where they stand on a variety of attributes (e.g. how fat they are or how much fat they eat) and then wait to see who dies. Once you have got a large enough group of dead patients you then look through your files to see if there is something that the dead patients tend to have more of. Very often you find something, as you would on chance alone. Real scientists refer to such a procedure as "data dredging" and discount it but real scientists are a rare breed. Attention-seeking scientists are far more common and it is their reports of such rubbish findings that fill the medical literature. 

 

But the only really conclusive way of verifying or falsifying the new "finding" is a longitudinal double-blind study -- i.e. you have to get a large and representative group of people and get half of them to change their ways in some respect (e.g. eat less fat). You then wait for years and see which group dies soonest. And at the end of that time what do you find? You typically find that the epidemiological hypothesis is not confirmed. 


-- -
Defenders of the status quo are always stronger than reformers seeking change, 
UNTIL the status quo self-destructs from its own corruption, and the reformers are free to build on its ashes.