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> Seven Sentinels Sell Signal, At Today's Close
IYB
post May 12 2009, 05:35 PM
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I'm short NQ's at 1392.25. Will buy DXD, SDS, QID, TZA at opening tomorrow, and will post fills. Good trading, D

QUOTE (IYB @ Apr 11 2009, 02:45 PM) *
Reference Post 4-11-09

QUOTE (IYB @ Nov 27 2008, 09:33 AM) *
The rules:

1. When all seven are in buy mode simultaneously following positive divergency patterns (higher reading in the 6 day EMA's of NAMO, NYMO, NAHL, and NYHL--vs. new lows hit in SPX) -- This constitutes a Seven Sentinels Buy Signal. {This occured Weds 11-26, for example. Please notice the massive positive divergence between the October 9 lows and the November 20 lower lows on SPX- where virtually every momentum measure on Earth registered a positive divergence on the "retest"}

2. When all seven are in sell mode simultaneously following negative divergency patterns (lower reading in the 6 day EMA's of NAMO, NYMO, NAHL, and NYHL vs. new highs hit in SPX) -- This constitutes a Seven Sentinels Sell Signal. {This occurred many times in 2008}

3. A signal defines the CONTEXT of the market for my trading purposes, and stays in effect until the opposite signal is given. Occassionally signals only last a few days before being reversed, but more often they last weeks or even months- as the market tends to trend in the direction indicated. While the market is in SSBS mode, I may for example, buy and hold, or trade long positions using weakness to take on positions and strength to exit, or a combination of both, or any other appropriate bullish trading strategies. What I do NOT do during an SSBS period is try to countertrend by shorting strength or any other such counter trend strategy. And while in SSSS mode, I may for example, short and hold, or trade short positions using strength to take on positions and weakness to exit, or a combination of both, or any other appropriate bearish trading strategies. What I do NOT do during an SSSS period is try to countertrend by buying weakness or any other such counter trend strategy.

4. The seven sentinels each have, individually, a buy mode and a sell mode- and as explained above, it is the allignment of all seven under specific conditions that constitutes a signal and defines for me the context or prevailing trend of the market. Here are the individual buy/sell triggers:

TRINQ and TRIN: Daily reading below 13 Day EMA is buy mode, reading above 13 Day EMA is sell mode.

For NAMO, NYMO, NAHL, NYHL, daily reading above 6 Day EMA is buy mode, and reading below same is sell mode.

For BPCOMPQ, reading within the Bolinger Band following reading below constitutes buy mode, as do readings above and outside of BB following reading within the band. Put another way, either positive crossing constitutes buy mode. Reading within the Bolinger Band following reading above constitutes sell mode, as do readings below and outside of BB following reading within the band. Put another way, either negative crossing constitutes sell mode. It stays in buy mode or in sell mode until it recrosses in the opposite direction.
















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"This bear is but a cub"

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Posts in this topic
- IYB   Seven Sentinels Sell Signal   May 12 2009, 05:35 PM
- - rkd80   This makes me one happy bear! Bless you Don.   May 12 2009, 05:55 PM
- - IYB   QUOTE (IYB @ May 12 2009, 12:35 PM) I...   May 12 2009, 06:01 PM
- - klono   IYB Thanks for the rules as well as the signal. To...   May 12 2009, 06:07 PM
- - CHAx   IYB just a thought: I got a buy on 65 min on both...   May 12 2009, 06:10 PM
- - snorkels4   have you had any fake-bad signals since rconfiguri...   May 12 2009, 06:12 PM
- - alysomji   Thanks Don for the FYI I'm also seeing a shif...   May 12 2009, 06:24 PM
- - IYB   QUOTE (klono @ May 12 2009, 01:07 PM) The...   May 12 2009, 06:32 PM
|- - zoropb   QUOTE (IYB @ May 12 2009, 07:32 PM) QUOTE...   May 13 2009, 01:55 AM
- - OEXCHAOS   "can't time the market..." It's...   May 12 2009, 06:37 PM
- - tuffy88   Thanks for the report Don. The Nasdaq had its 4th...   May 12 2009, 06:40 PM
|- - rkd80   Charles, Pardon the ignorance, but how many dis. ...   May 12 2009, 06:58 PM
- - Echo   4 + 1 = 5   May 12 2009, 07:20 PM
|- - tommyt   QUOTE (Echo @ May 12 2009, 04:20 PM) 4 + ...   May 12 2009, 08:10 PM
|- - rkd80   QUOTE (tommyt @ May 12 2009, 09:10 PM) QU...   May 12 2009, 08:25 PM
|- - tommyt   tommy, i actually see some people using today...   May 12 2009, 10:44 PM
- - tuffy88   Echo is right. 5 distribution days on any major in...   May 12 2009, 08:34 PM
|- - rkd80   Charles please do not feed the trolls. So, ANY in...   May 12 2009, 08:49 PM
- - thespookyone   Don-Just looked at the internals on the NDX-all I ...   May 12 2009, 09:27 PM
|- - redfoliage2   No doubt.   May 12 2009, 09:28 PM
- - humble1   very nice swing trade, IYB: from 3/10 through 5/12...   May 12 2009, 10:22 PM
- - Echo   rkd, please accept my apology, no dis intended. My...   May 12 2009, 10:25 PM
- - maxter267   thanks for the update IYB!   May 13 2009, 02:25 AM
- - darnelds   IYB I missed the top. Dang day job. Any chance w...   May 13 2009, 03:53 PM
- - thespookyone   Nice call.   May 13 2009, 05:03 PM
- - skott   IYB, is the stop on your SSSS trades a SSBS?   May 14 2009, 01:10 PM




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