Jump to content



Photo

don't short too early


  • Please log in to reply
5 replies to this topic

#1 dcengr

dcengr

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 13,391 posts

Posted 02 September 2010 - 02:34 PM

I think its overbought and some downside is coming.. But I also think there will be an AH pop after asia opens. So if you plan on shorting, you may want to wait til then.
Qui custodiet ipsos custodes?

#2 dasein

dasein

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 7,696 posts

Posted 02 September 2010 - 02:54 PM

oh, no, you are going to no sleep mode like porsche, too....
best,
klh

#3 Cirrus

Cirrus

    Member

  • TT Patron+
  • 5,735 posts

Posted 02 September 2010 - 02:55 PM

I see more potential for upside here. Liquidity is PILED into bonds like no ones business. Stupid low rates and moderate to low equity valuations with generally negative sentiment. Gold stocks acting well. Stocks holding up great on weekly chart if you consider the plunge in yields. Weekly and daily trend down but daily could switch to up as soon as close today or tomorrow. With Fed action 100s of billions can come out of stocks into bonds without raising rates much at all. I see more upsided risk to downside which is why I stated a day or two ago about respecting the trend but downside was limited.

#4 hitoya

hitoya

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 494 posts

Posted 02 September 2010 - 03:05 PM

I see more potential for upside here. Liquidity is PILED into bonds like no ones business. Stupid low rates and moderate to low equity valuations with generally negative sentiment. Gold stocks acting well. Stocks holding up great on weekly chart if you consider the plunge in yields.

Weekly and daily trend down but daily could switch to up as soon as close today or tomorrow. With Fed action 100s of billions can come out of stocks into bonds without raising rates much at all.

I see more upsided risk to downside which is why I stated a day or two ago about respecting the trend but downside was limited.


For over a week, while market looked really bad and was going down, oex put/call had been kept under one consistently. They must know something :)

#5 dcengr

dcengr

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 13,391 posts

Posted 02 September 2010 - 07:22 PM

This is a 5 wave move UP, but I think we finished wave 1 up, now we need to see wave 2 down.
Qui custodiet ipsos custodes?

#6 porsche911sg

porsche911sg

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 2,907 posts

Posted 02 September 2010 - 08:03 PM

oh, no, you are going to no sleep mode like porsche, too....

porsche went to sleep mode after shorting. oh it went a little higher but it ok with me.
The market catches almost everyone on the wrong side. We always seem to get fake break out before that huge dump or the hugh dump before the false break down! Trade Safe!