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I feel there's massive distribution going on in treasuries


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#1 dcengr

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Posted 03 September 2010 - 12:06 AM

But there maybe one more thrust ahead. Because it looks like a wave 4 on a daily time scale... just need a pop in junction with wave 2 down of this wave C up of wave B. Then I think treasuries will collapse, stocks will rise for a bit, treasuries will continue to collapse, stocks will plummet.
Qui custodiet ipsos custodes?

#2 dasein

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Posted 03 September 2010 - 02:41 AM

DC,

which volume bar? the high volume futures roll from Sep to Dec seems to show no real change in OI.

COT shows commercials hitting a yearly low in the 30 yr 2 weeks ago and reducing the 10 yr consecutively towards the 52 week low recently, and as usual, large specs are taking up the other side.

we are in many metrics overdue for a sellof, but as always, when.

FYI - http://www.ireallytr...on/LarryTV.html
best,
klh

#3 arbman

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Posted 03 September 2010 - 07:17 AM

I think there is massive distribution in both stocks, bonds and steady accumulation of gold... The currencies are also depreciating assets in such an environment.

#4 goldswinger

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Posted 03 September 2010 - 07:58 AM

But there maybe one more thrust ahead. Because it looks like a wave 4 on a daily time scale... just need a pop in junction with wave 2 down of this wave C up of wave B.

Then I think treasuries will collapse, stocks will rise for a bit, treasuries will continue to collapse, stocks will plummet.



When and if they collapse (November 2010?), here is Fat Finger type hyperinflation episode scenario from 321GOLD induced by the collapse of Treasuries which would be aided and abetted by the TBTF banks. Makes some sense as this is the last bubble standing.....

http://gonzalolira.b...sury-bonds.html


GS.