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If this is a top.....


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#1 CLK

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Posted 23 May 2013 - 05:42 PM

....expect a couple weeks of chop to identify it, and the swings must be wide. Don't look for more than a simple ABC of 3-5% if we break to new lows right now, the market is not going to crash.

Edited by CLK, 23 May 2013 - 05:42 PM.


#2 CLK

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Posted 23 May 2013 - 08:12 PM

Going all the way back up, nothing more than Fed speak irrational nonsense. Volume just is nowhere to be found, no top.

#3 tommyt

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Posted 23 May 2013 - 08:26 PM

....expect a couple weeks of chop to identify it, and the swings must be wide. Don't look for more than a simple
ABC of 3-5% if we break to new lows right now, the market is not going to crash.



do we really care if its a top? you wont know till way after anyways. Pick your spots and go.

#4 CLK

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Posted 23 May 2013 - 08:30 PM

....expect a couple weeks of chop to identify it, and the swings must be wide. Don't look for more than a simple
ABC of 3-5% if we break to new lows right now, the market is not going to crash.



do we really care if its a top? you wont know till way after anyways. Pick your spots and go.




I don't see how anyone could have picked a spot to short with puts over the last month and gotten out without a loss,
the moves barely cover the spreads.

#5 tommyt

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Posted 23 May 2013 - 10:14 PM

....expect a couple weeks of chop to identify it, and the swings must be wide. Don't look for more than a simple
ABC of 3-5% if we break to new lows right now, the market is not going to crash.



do we really care if its a top? you wont know till way after anyways. Pick your spots and go.




I don't see how anyone could have picked a spot to short with puts over the last month and gotten out without a loss,
the moves barely cover the spreads.



option strategy is everything...the rest is luck, as options are a wasting asset and all premium expires.