Jump to content



Photo

The TT polls last 2 days


  • Please log in to reply
11 replies to this topic

#1 dcengr

dcengr

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 13,391 posts

Posted 29 July 2009 - 08:44 PM

Theres a lot of good traders here.. a lot of times I've seen them be weighed towards one side or other and see them win. But there's some strong sell signals in place.. OEX p/c above 1.5, rising vix for 3 days.. rydex ratios hitting the upper part of the ceiling.. yet the polls here are heavily fully long. Is it because the market can't seem to drop and end of day always recovers? Is it because there's a bull flag looking ready to break to the upside? Is it because of the inverse HnS formation? I'm just asking because the longs maybe right, but I don't understand whats making you bullish. Btw I think tomorrow is a gap up too..

Edited by dcengr, 29 July 2009 - 08:51 PM.

Qui custodiet ipsos custodes?

#2 dcengr

dcengr

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 13,391 posts

Posted 29 July 2009 - 09:01 PM

if its not a fakeout, the bull flag breakout targets ES 984.. cash hasn't tested futures high yet.
Qui custodiet ipsos custodes?

#3 CLK

CLK

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 10,823 posts

Posted 29 July 2009 - 09:14 PM

Right now looking at the charts, on balance, I don't have much confidence in up before a pullback. I think we need a full retest of the breakout, 200 Dow points. I saw the polls also, doesn't look good. Mirror image for the Dow for six days = down big tomorrow. I've got a couple bullish divergences showing up though. If no decent gap up, I may have to add to hedge. Either way, the polls say the waiting is over, I believe.

#4 cp1

cp1

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 388 posts

Posted 29 July 2009 - 09:50 PM

I've also noticed what the futures are doing seem to influence the voting. I am not sure if it is just me or if there is any validity to my theory. CP1

#5 IndexTrader

IndexTrader

    Member

  • TT Patron+
  • 7,694 posts

Posted 29 July 2009 - 11:35 PM

I've also noticed what the futures are doing seem to influence the voting. I am not sure if it is just me or if there is any validity to my theory.

CP1


I agree.

#6 inamosa

inamosa

    Patterns-based Trader and Investor in ETFs and Futures

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 1,638 posts

Posted 29 July 2009 - 11:37 PM

To this day, I never look at or vote in the polls No, I'm here for the discussion
"Our job is not to predict where the market will go, but to interpret daily price and volume action to ascertain the facts of the current environment and make decisions based on that interpretation."
-Scott O'Neil (son of William O'Neil), Portfolio Manager at O’Neil Data Systems, when asked where the Dow would go in the coming months

#7 OEXCHAOS

OEXCHAOS

    Mark S. Young

  • Admin
  • 22,595 posts

Posted 29 July 2009 - 11:37 PM

Could also be coincidental. I've found, however, that our sentiment is very mercurial, organic, and variable in context. This crew is also rather right unless we really get leaning. Mark

Mark S Young
Wall Street Sentiment
Get a free trial here:

https://book.stripe....1aut29V5edgrS03
You can now follow me on X


#8 IndexTrader

IndexTrader

    Member

  • TT Patron+
  • 7,694 posts

Posted 30 July 2009 - 12:22 AM

Could also be coincidental. I've found, however, that our sentiment is very mercurial, organic, and variable in context.

This crew is also rather right unless we really get leaning.

Mark


I don't see any evidence of this board in general being right. The latest example is this rally, where the board was bearish all the way up. Of course, maybe you're referring to that as "leaning". To me what I see in general on the board is that there is alot of top/bottom picking, which will be right at times, but is mostly wrong.

IT

#9 diogenes227

diogenes227

    Member

  • TT Patron+
  • 5,120 posts

Posted 30 July 2009 - 01:04 AM

Theres a lot of good traders here.. a lot of times I've seen them be weighed towards one side or other and see them win.

But there's some strong sell signals in place.. OEX p/c above 1.5, rising vix for 3 days.. rydex ratios hitting the upper part of the ceiling.. yet the polls here are heavily fully long.

Is it because the market can't seem to drop and end of day always recovers?

Is it because there's a bull flag looking ready to break to the upside?

Is it because of the inverse HnS formation?

I'm just asking because the longs maybe right, but I don't understand whats making you bullish.

Btw I think tomorrow is a gap up too..


Simple. NYSI and NASI are rising.

SWING WAVES McCLELLAN

"If you've heard this story before, don't stop me because I'd like to hear it again," Groucho Marx (on market history?).

“I've learned in options trading simple is best and the obvious is often the most elusive to recognize.”

 

"The god of trading rewards persistence, experience and discipline, and absolutely nothing else."


#10 porsche911sg

porsche911sg

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 2,907 posts

Posted 30 July 2009 - 04:30 AM

Right now looking at the charts, on balance, I don't have much confidence
in up before a pullback. I think we need a full retest of the breakout,
200 Dow points.

I saw the polls also, doesn't look good.
Mirror image for the Dow for six days = down big tomorrow.
I've got a couple bullish divergences showing up though.
If no decent gap up, I may have to add to hedge.

Either way, the polls say the waiting is over, I believe.



I think it's up big time today!
The market catches almost everyone on the wrong side. We always seem to get fake break out before that huge dump or the hugh dump before the false break down! Trade Safe!