Jump to content



Photo

ES headed to 1120 or so by next wk


  • Please log in to reply
4 replies to this topic

#1 andiron

andiron

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 5,757 posts

Posted 16 October 2009 - 03:05 PM

Market again was very strong today..any pivot support has a bid. Oil breaking out..and 50% retrace to 1120 is a magnet... I have changed my bias. Trade from the long side and do not fight the fed (or feds of the world)

#2 porsche911sg

porsche911sg

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 2,907 posts

Posted 16 October 2009 - 05:42 PM

Market again was very strong today..any pivot support has a bid. Oil breaking out..and 50% retrace to 1120 is a magnet...

I have changed my bias. Trade from the long side and do not fight the fed (or feds of the world)


But what's the rationale here? We need a catalyst to push it up... I am not seeing it.
The market catches almost everyone on the wrong side. We always seem to get fake break out before that huge dump or the hugh dump before the false break down! Trade Safe!

#3 andiron

andiron

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 5,757 posts

Posted 16 October 2009 - 06:26 PM

breakaout from 1075 ES remains.. 1075 was a huge attraction for bears as it was a bear engulfing candle and lots of hope..the fact that it gave way w/out a hiccup seems that there is more upside from here..today i had hoped it would retrace at least to that pt, it didn't. I am seeing cont dollar weakness to reach at least 2008 low in short term and oil breakout....Both supporting equity...in fact, i would think this may continue till year end as the festival season is at hand....50 % retrace in SPX is a given..that ES 1122 ..another 4-5% from here


Market again was very strong today..any pivot support has a bid. Oil breaking out..and 50% retrace to 1120 is a magnet...

I have changed my bias. Trade from the long side and do not fight the fed (or feds of the world)


But what's the rationale here? We need a catalyst to push it up... I am not seeing it.



#4 andiron

andiron

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 5,757 posts

Posted 16 October 2009 - 06:42 PM

i just looked at USD chart and it sure looks like double top and extends to ~72 to reach support...further, the rise in dollar in july 08 mirrors fall in US market (the 3rd wave of vicous fall)

breakaout from 1075 ES remains.. 1075 was a huge attraction for bears as it was a bear engulfing candle and lots of hope..the fact that it gave way w/out a hiccup seems that there is more upside from here..today i had hoped it would retrace at least to that pt, it didn't. I am seeing cont dollar weakness to reach at least 2008 low in short term and oil breakout....Both supporting equity...in fact, i would think this may continue till year end as the festival season is at hand....50 % retrace in SPX is a given..that ES 1122 ..another 4-5% from here

usd.png


Market again was very strong today..any pivot support has a bid. Oil breaking out..and 50% retrace to 1120 is a magnet...

I have changed my bias. Trade from the long side and do not fight the fed (or feds of the world)


But what's the rationale here? We need a catalyst to push it up... I am not seeing it.



#5 porsche911sg

porsche911sg

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 2,907 posts

Posted 16 October 2009 - 06:52 PM

breakaout from 1075 ES remains.. 1075 was a huge attraction for bears as it was a bear engulfing candle and lots of hope..the fact that it gave way w/out a hiccup seems that there is more upside from here..today i had hoped it would retrace at least to that pt, it didn't. I am seeing cont dollar weakness to reach at least 2008 low in short term and oil breakout....Both supporting equity...in fact, i would think this may continue till year end as the festival season is at hand....50 % retrace in SPX is a given..that ES 1122 ..another 4-5% from here


Market again was very strong today..any pivot support has a bid. Oil breaking out..and 50% retrace to 1120 is a magnet...

I have changed my bias. Trade from the long side and do not fight the fed (or feds of the world)


But what's the rationale here? We need a catalyst to push it up... I am not seeing it.

I think on monday there would be a bounce at start and it will probably fall thorugh to retrace 1075-1070. I long the plunge on monday than sell the bounce.
The market catches almost everyone on the wrong side. We always seem to get fake break out before that huge dump or the hugh dump before the false break down! Trade Safe!