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#1 Market Timer looks sideways for 2010

Started by Rogerdodger , Jan 18 2010 01:20 PM

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#1 Rogerdodger

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Posted 18 January 2010 - 01:20 PM

Laundry is looking for an 80 year bottom, I believe around 2012.
Tom McClellan looks at 40 year cycles posted at Decisionpoint and thinks 2010 will be sideways
similar to 1970's when:
"The keys to investing success back in the 1970s were in finding the hot new stock or sector, and also in identifying the right time to be in or out of the market."
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#2 zman

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Posted 18 January 2010 - 01:33 PM

Laundry is looking for an 80 year bottom, I believe around 2012.
Tom McClellan looks at 40 year cycles posted at Decisionpoint and thinks 2010 will be sideways
similar to 1970's when:
"The keys to investing success back in the 1970s were in finding the hot new stock or sector, and also in identifying the right time to be in or out of the market."
Posted Image


Roger, thanks for the post...I really like these 2 Gentlemen and they make a lot of sense to me...cheers
Education is the best defense against the media.

#3 dasein

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Posted 18 January 2010 - 01:37 PM

biotechs for next hot item?
best,
klh

#4 zman

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Posted 18 January 2010 - 01:46 PM

dasein, thats what I have been thinking
Education is the best defense against the media.

#5 fib_1618

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Posted 18 January 2010 - 02:24 PM

biotechs for next hot item?

For several months, the market has been betting that the Health Care bill is going to fail in Congress. If this actually turns out to be the case, then BioTech would be an excellent area since there would be a profitable reason for research and development to continue.

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#6 zman

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Posted 18 January 2010 - 03:07 PM

thanks for the input fib...cheers
Education is the best defense against the media.

#7 dharma

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Posted 18 January 2010 - 03:24 PM

the mayan calendar suggests that as we get closer to 2012 time becomes compressed. so that what happened in the 1970s i year =s 18 days today. i have been applying this to gold. and if i am correct gold is about to go vertical. the length of the gold cycle is shorter than that of stocks. it could start any time, but my work shows by the 26-27th . we shall see mclellands work is a similar idea to mine , but applying the larger cycle to gold, in stead of stocks. so i found this piece interesting dharma

#8 Italiantrader

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Posted 18 January 2010 - 04:41 PM

:huh: :huh: you guys! hope everybody is fine over there... it is longtime that i don't write in this board, but i still read most of you... please is anyone there who can explain me better the first rogerdodger's chart?? I mean Dharma says time compressed and compares 1970's with 18 days in 2012.... how many of you really think that a huge violent stock market's movement will happen across 2012? or before? for what reason? is it possible to get a rational reason about it? B) Thanks in advance for your insights.... ( is it correct to write insight ?? ) sorry for my english mistakes... ciao Fabrizio
"Good things come to those who waits"

#9 Data

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Posted 18 January 2010 - 06:57 PM

the market has been betting that health reform would succeed and has been pushing up HMOs, drug companies, and other medical companies. heatlh 'reform' is another huge government subsidy program for private industry. besides the healthcare companies, big retailers and restaurant chains make out like bandits with the 3x expansion of Medicaid.

#10 Rogerdodger

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Posted 18 January 2010 - 09:49 PM

please is anyone there who can explain me better the first rogerdodger's chart??


It is Tom McClellan's chart.
I believe it is an overlay of past 40 year cycles.
It basically shows 20 years of rally from 1942 to 1962 then 20 years of little movement until 1982.
From 1982 until 2002 there was a nice rally which closely matches 1942 to 1962 on a percentage basis, he then deduces that a similar pattern will follow from 2002 to 2022.

Laundry's observation is that every other cycle is deep.
That is, there is an 80 year cycle overlaying the 40 year cycle.
Time will tell.
Ciao!

Edited by Rogerdodger, 18 January 2010 - 09:51 PM.

"Nature's Failure to Function in a 'Predictable Way'... 500 years ago?"
BIGGEST SCIENCE SCANDAL EVER...Official records systematically 'adjusted'.
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