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NAAIM Sentiment Study


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#1 OEXCHAOS

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Posted 18 January 2010 - 03:59 PM

National Association of Active Investment Managers Median market exposure levels. Huge Chart (sorry). I've written a more in depth study with smaller charts that just went out to subscribers. We'll make this available a bit later after subscribers get a look, but for now, some might like to get a look at the raw data set. NAAIMCurrentSentimet_24992_image001.gif

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#2 atlasshrugged

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Posted 18 January 2010 - 04:24 PM

National Association of Active Investment Managers Median market exposure levels.

Huge Chart (sorry).

I've written a more in depth study with smaller charts that just went out to subscribers.

We'll make this available a bit later after subscribers get a look, but for now, some might like to get a look at the raw data set.

NAAIMCurrentSentimet_24992_image001.gif



certainly implies that we are blowing off to 1200 real soon...or does it imply that we are too full and need to sell off to 1035 first in order to get more fuel for further gains?

Edited by atlasshrugged, 18 January 2010 - 04:24 PM.


#3 OEXCHAOS

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Posted 18 January 2010 - 04:35 PM

The data implies to me that we've got about 5 out of 7 likelihood of a 5% decline from the highs. Basically, because we're still in a bull market and it's strong, one has to be careful with a signal like this; this is the perfect market for it to be wrong, but the signal is still good enough to look lower, more so with more support.

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#4 atlasshrugged

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Posted 18 January 2010 - 04:44 PM

The data implies to me that we've got about 5 out of 7 likelihood of a 5% decline from the highs.

Basically, because we're still in a bull market and it's strong, one has to be careful with a signal like this; this is the perfect market for it to be wrong, but the signal is still good enough to look lower, more so with more support.



agreed..obviously i am talking my position..but a five percent hair cut brings us down to 1100 or the 60 day ema...

#5 thespookyone

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Posted 18 January 2010 - 09:06 PM

Mark-Just took a look at your study, nice job! Your service is worth every penny, I'm glad to be aboard for my second year.

#6 OEXCHAOS

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Posted 19 January 2010 - 08:04 AM

Spook, We're glad to have you! Mark

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#7 OEXCHAOS

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Posted 19 January 2010 - 08:09 AM

BTW, this data gives some amazingly accurate vst signals too. 17 signals, 3 losers. Same day or next day signals. If I make 14 10-point profits and 3 10 point losses, that's ~$11000 on two contracts, and I'm saying that's very doable. That's a bit of added value.

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