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Having trouble selling call spreads


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#1 TheArchitect

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Posted 21 January 2010 - 09:28 PM

For a fair premium... The last two days... Tells me the opt mkt is looking for more downside from here into march. Fwiw.

#2 Islander

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Posted 21 January 2010 - 10:38 PM

Very astute of you. The support for most indexes is three or four average vol trading days from current levels. I suspect we are getting the correction, but my spreads were set up a few days ago, Contemplation? Will No I am following Terry Laundry T theory on timing. Best, Islander

#3 arbman

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Posted 21 January 2010 - 11:02 PM

My option outlook looks balanced now, I do not think we will go below 1100 very much before a strong bounce. I am looking for 2% downside and then 3-4% upside. I think 1090-1100 zone should be a good bottom picking opportunity for a bounce at least up to 1120s. Then the plug will be pulled once more to dive sub-1100 zone and more...

The last week of January has been seasonally strong in all studies. [ref: 1]

Edited by arbman, 21 January 2010 - 11:03 PM.