We have a shadow formed (so far) at the bottom of the BB.
VIX has been on fire. It needs to turn back down. VIX CHART
Slower players may subscribe to Terry's comments below: "see what happens after the first up day"
See Chart at LINKFriday Morning 8AM Jan 22 2010 Comment for Jan 21 Close: Forecast remains bullish until the S&P reaches the chart Objective at the upper red envelope, now S&P 1168-ish in the table.
The decline caused by the expiration of the small red T has now reached a plausible low zone. The Volume Oscillator has reached an oversold condition down near the red dashed line, and the Arms readings are sufficient oversold.
Over the next day or two some confirmation of a turn is needed, however until then the Green AD Line correction is not unusual and the Third T is Bullish. We just need to wait to see what happens after the first up day. A one day day rally won't provide the confirmation.
Terry
RSI systems nearing oversold:
http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$SPX&p=D&yr=0&mn=9&dy=0&i=p64748743953&a=94546561&r=278.png
Edited by Rogerdodger, 22 January 2010 - 11:21 AM.










