Jump to content



Photo

China Breaks 2008 Lows Overnight


  • Please log in to reply
2 replies to this topic

#1 inamosa

inamosa

    Patterns-based Trader and Investor in ETFs and Futures

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 1,638 posts

Posted 17 May 2010 - 10:54 AM

As I've noted on my blog ( http://sharpetrader....-overnight.html ), China broke its 2008 lows overnight. This is a significant development given that the Chinese market has had a tendency to lead the US markets by several weeks or months.

Here's an excerpt of what I wrote to give you an idea of my opinion:

The Wall Street Journal is reporting this morning that the reason for the drop was fears that Beijing would be forced to tighten its policies in an attempt to cool the property and consumer prices.

Whatever the reason, it's clear that some major indices around the world seem to be entering bear markets, including Australia and France. This may partly be due to the fact that liquidity inflow has been more restrained in these countries than the US. Indeed, Australia and China have been known to be tightening monetary policy for months now.

Personally, I would need to see the S&P 500 take out February's low before a case could be made for the resumption of the bear market. Until that point, I continue to believe the US stock market is simply mired in a normal cyclical bull market correction. At some point, the secular bear market in the US will resume, however...

Attached Thumbnails

  • china_makes_lower_low.png

"Our job is not to predict where the market will go, but to interpret daily price and volume action to ascertain the facts of the current environment and make decisions based on that interpretation."
-Scott O'Neil (son of William O'Neil), Portfolio Manager at O’Neil Data Systems, when asked where the Dow would go in the coming months

#2 The End

The End

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 740 posts

Posted 17 May 2010 - 12:44 PM

We broke below the 2008 low? I want what your smokin. :rolleyes: Try the September 2009 low.
NONE of what I type should be taken as financial advice.

#3 inamosa

inamosa

    Patterns-based Trader and Investor in ETFs and Futures

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 1,638 posts

Posted 17 May 2010 - 03:17 PM

Sorry, I got the years mixed up. Not smoking anything.
"Our job is not to predict where the market will go, but to interpret daily price and volume action to ascertain the facts of the current environment and make decisions based on that interpretation."
-Scott O'Neil (son of William O'Neil), Portfolio Manager at O’Neil Data Systems, when asked where the Dow would go in the coming months