Extremely stretched market, but the momentum is still increasing to the downside. These tend to stretch the cycle lows longer...
I think the reversal out of these extremes will be also very violent, but the first bounces will be sold.
I think Fed will have to step in with a purchasing program next week...
Best of luck.
"Ideal" 16 wk cycle low was today
Started by
arbman
, May 20 2010 05:17 PM
2 replies to this topic
#2
Posted 20 May 2010 - 07:03 PM
The 1040 low should be taken before a substantial bounce happens tomorrow. Certainly 20 points lower from today's close is not too far. I think it will be a good place for a sharp reversal as anywhere else, I will buy there. I think June 2009 top around 950-970 will be a better support going forward, but this may not happen until later this summer. Ultimately, the market is going much lower into 2011...
#3
Posted 20 May 2010 - 08:52 PM
No matter what happens on the bounce (that is due and over due), it is just the prelude to the next leg down. Stay loose.
This is making a mess of Terry Laundry's timetable I think. I am lost in his rubric.
Best, Islander.










