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B ware Bulls, 2 more flies in the ointment.


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#1 goldswinger

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Posted 14 July 2010 - 11:30 PM

Well, it also apears that FXY:FXE is poised to move up sharply and so is our friend $USD, perhaps even Tonight.

Every time this duo makes a move we have a down move on SPX sometimes more sometimes less but it happens a lot more often than not.


http://stockcharts.c...amp;a=181677962


GS.

#2 MikeyG

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Posted 14 July 2010 - 11:40 PM

Asia down as well... I'm trading currencies as usual...If we can bust through euro/yen 112 with conviction, I'll rest easy... My Aussie dollar signal is about to fire a sell, which trades pretty much lockstep with oil... I've wanted to cover my short in euro/yen about a three times today but all my charts say the next move is down... The spx:vxo chart was a good one last night, thanks for posting it...

Christus vincit! Christus regnat! Christus imperat!

 

#3 goldswinger

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Posted 14 July 2010 - 11:47 PM

Asia down as well...

I'm trading currencies as usual...If we can bust through euro/yen 112 with conviction, I'll rest easy...

My Aussie dollar signal is about to fire a sell, which trades pretty much lockstep with oil...

I've wanted to cover my short in euro/yen about a three times today but all my charts say the next move is down...

The spx:vxo chart was a good one last night, thanks for posting it...



I am glad it helped MikeyG. I am not always right but my ratio is improving. As I type the buck seems to be doing its 5h wave down of the last down move....should complete by morning.

Thanks for the bit on the Aussie /OIL correlation, do you think it is better than the Can Dollar/OIL correlation?

GS.

#4 MikeyG

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Posted 14 July 2010 - 11:57 PM

They seem to both work fine, AUD seems to give a little more ooomph on the ups and downs... scCANMYISV.png

Christus vincit! Christus regnat! Christus imperat!

 

#5 redfoliage2

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Posted 15 July 2010 - 12:08 AM

Read this:
http://finance.yahoo...e...set=&ccode=

USD will be lower for the next few months.

Edited by redfoliage2, 15 July 2010 - 12:09 AM.


#6 goldswinger

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Posted 15 July 2010 - 12:10 AM

They seem to both work fine, AUD seems to give a little more ooomph on the ups and downs...

scCANMYISV.png



Thanks. Some people don't like cross market analysis. I love it as it gives me a bit more confidence when I see something as now.....from several different angles....

#7 MikeyG

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Posted 15 July 2010 - 12:16 AM

Read this:
http://finance.yahoo...e...set=&ccode=

USD will be lower for the next few months.



Bullish article for USD in short term...

Christus vincit! Christus regnat! Christus imperat!

 

#8 diogenes227

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Posted 15 July 2010 - 12:23 AM

Be good to have a couple days down to ease the overbought on this great rally week and set up the next surge up. :)

"If you've heard this story before, don't stop me because I'd like to hear it again," Groucho Marx (on market history?).

“I've learned in options trading simple is best and the obvious is often the most elusive to recognize.”

 

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#9 goldswinger

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Posted 15 July 2010 - 01:05 AM

Read this:
http://finance.yahoo...e...set=&ccode=

USD will be lower for the next few months.



Red, from the article:

""Things would have to get a lot worse before they agreed to this," said Paul Ashworth, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics."

We will see SPX 870 and a $USD @ 90 before they act. Until then, trade what you see short term.

GS.

#10 porsche911sg

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Posted 15 July 2010 - 01:13 AM

Read this:
http://finance.yahoo...e...set=&ccode=

USD will be lower for the next few months.



Red, from the article:

""Things would have to get a lot worse before they agreed to this," said Paul Ashworth, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics."

We will see SPX 870 and a $USD @ 90 before they act. Until then, trade what you see short term.

GS.

Good call GS, I am just waiting for the market to top out before getting short.. I think next week the market will move down sharply.
The market catches almost everyone on the wrong side. We always seem to get fake break out before that huge dump or the hugh dump before the false break down! Trade Safe!