
--
The real problems for the rest of us is the Japanese commitments to buy US and EU debt and it won't be happening --for a long time, this is a bond market disruption...
So, I don't know, I have seen the markets doing absolutely the most irrational and rally to new highs in these situations like in Oct 2007 --although it was a man-made disaster, the memory is still too fresh about even 2008 spring rally. But then there is also all the excuse they needed to dump the markets completely. The market was priced for perfection and now it has to be priced for a nuclear leak...
The breadth is somewhat improving today so I am optimistic, but the breadth cycles are known to slow down the trends but not quite turn them due to the momentum. So, I will be carefully watching, so far, I still think we will get a good rally, but perhaps we may see more weakness and lower prices for the next 2 weeks until the situation is under control.
It just doesn't make sense to top 3.5 months before the end of the Fed purchases, but the bond market may get further disrupted...










