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#1 bigbud

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Posted 21 July 2012 - 03:54 AM

SPX in third big wave since 2009. Waves getting weaker and the lows deeper. The deepest into summer 2013.
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~70TD waves flashing warning, with a lower low and now possibly a lower high in July-August.
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This 70TD wave is still making higher swing highs and lows, and could make another 2 swing highs before it tops.
But we are in a weak wave that may break down early
So last week may have been the top, or we get another 1 or 2 swing highs, in attempt for SPX 1400+ before it gives up
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#2 bigbud

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Posted 21 July 2012 - 04:03 AM

of the western markets FTSE has been the leader.
Topped early in 2011, made early low in Aug 2011, topped early in 2012, made early double bottom in May-June, and now failed to make a higher swing-high >5720.
So FTSE now seems to lead us down... but divergences may hold SPX up for another weeks.

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#3 pisces

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Posted 21 July 2012 - 06:40 AM

of the western markets FTSE has been the leader.
Topped early in 2011, made early low in Aug 2011, topped early in 2012, made early double bottom in May-June, and now failed to make a higher swing-high >5720.
So FTSE now seems to lead us down... but divergences may hold SPX up for another weeks.

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Thanks for your charts and analysis,i agree with your outlook.

the task on hand is to turn this into CASH.

BEST OF LUCK IN YOUR TRADING,

Pisces.

#4 bigbud

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Posted 22 July 2012 - 09:23 AM

last swing high in SPX also gave a potential IT-sell signal Now we have the same situation: another swing-sell signal, together with a new potential IT-sell So downside bias the coming week, that could lead to a breakdown and confirmation of IT-sell. Or we make another higher swing-low, and squeeze up one more time, probably setting up another swing-sell together with potential IT-sell some time in ~10 days