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Seeing a lot of calls for a big top


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#1 Chilidawgz

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Posted 21 July 2012 - 09:41 PM

I don't trade anything "long term" anymore. I may hold a day or three depends what the market is doing. Posted this the other day showing a short term probable top:

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that said, I do like to take a look at the weekly to see what may transpire. Here is one indicator which gives fairly decent calls on a longer time frame when it does turn:

Posted Image
Anything can happen...what's happening now?
No one can forecast the future. No one.
 
All stocks (ETF's) are BAD...unless they go up - William O'Neil
When The Time Comes To Buy or Sell, You Won't Want To - Walter Deemer
 
 

#2 Chilidawgz

Chilidawgz

    A fool and his money... (the second mousie gets the cheese)

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Posted 21 July 2012 - 09:55 PM

Here is another tool I like among several others I use. (Mom always told me to make sure I went on the faster rides during carnival time) As I said before, long term might be several days or so depending on market circumstances.

Posted Image
Anything can happen...what's happening now?
No one can forecast the future. No one.
 
All stocks (ETF's) are BAD...unless they go up - William O'Neil
When The Time Comes To Buy or Sell, You Won't Want To - Walter Deemer
 
 

#3 opinionated

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Posted 22 July 2012 - 06:35 AM

Thanks for the thoughts, and charts... may I ask if you see a slow roll over here or a final attempt at a run to the 1400 TL? Thanks... O

#4 Chilidawgz

Chilidawgz

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Posted 22 July 2012 - 12:09 PM

I am thinking the bias is down for the next 1 to 3 days then they will push up again, the quality of that push will possibly tell us if this is a rollover. No one knows IMO. If I were to guesstimate I would say we are not going to your trend line 1400. My most reliable signals show me trades in the 2-3 to 4 or maybe 6 day range, anything longer for me is too variable. Even if I guess a longer trend the short term draw downs make me crazy, lol.

This chart is worth what you paid for it :D

Posted Image
Anything can happen...what's happening now?
No one can forecast the future. No one.
 
All stocks (ETF's) are BAD...unless they go up - William O'Neil
When The Time Comes To Buy or Sell, You Won't Want To - Walter Deemer