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Dollar Index ($DXY) entering ST/IT exhaustion zone


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#1 Geomean

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Posted 24 July 2012 - 08:42 AM

@ 83.78. High yesterday (day 12 of sell countdown) at 84 just under 84.05 target. Upper BB 84.26. LT Andrew Pitchfork middle tine just above. At retrace up resistance point. $DXY turn down often coincide/preceed push up in US stock indices. Last peak on the TDSEQ set up 9 on June 1 preceded turn up in equities.
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#2 dowdeva

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Posted 24 July 2012 - 09:25 AM

Thank you, Geomean, for your valuable, and unique, analyses. They are much appreciated. What do you make of the p/c over 5 on the NDX today? ~D

#3 Geomean

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Posted 24 July 2012 - 10:03 AM

Thank you, Geomean, for your valuable, and unique, analyses. They are much appreciated.

What do you make of the p/c over 5 on the NDX today?

~D


I'm guessing a a final shake of the tree, then a pivot up. No good VST (hourly) go long signal yet in the cash indices, maybe tomorrow.
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#4 SemiBizz

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Posted 24 July 2012 - 12:32 PM

www.dukascopy.com

There are some great charts available here on currency crosses, and there are a lot of charting options.

My experience is that these ETFs and Derivatives don't actually give you a great picture of the underlying, because they are used as hedging vehicles...

Right here you can't make any real good assumptions about the dollar using the dollar index because it is corrupted with other crosses.

The real action is the Euro and all it's crosses...

The dollar index is a follower, not a leader.

Just one opinion...

If you get into the currency crosses though, it is whole new set of optics on global markets...

;)

Edited by SemiBizz, 24 July 2012 - 12:35 PM.

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#5 Geomean

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Posted 25 July 2012 - 08:35 AM

www.dukascopy.com

There are some great charts available here on currency crosses, and there are a lot of charting options.

My experience is that these ETFs and Derivatives don't actually give you a great picture of the underlying, because they are used as hedging vehicles...

Right here you can't make any real good assumptions about the dollar using the dollar index because it is corrupted with other crosses.

The real action is the Euro and all it's crosses...

The dollar index is a follower, not a leader.

Just one opinion...

If you get into the currency crosses though, it is whole new set of optics on global markets...

;)


Thanks Semi. I've never traded FX, just do inter market analysis with it. But I looked at and saved the above link for further study. Appreciate the reminder.

Geo
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