Remember When Al Gore Said Hurricanes Were Going to Kill us All?

Al Gore descended to earth to warn mankind. And to make a few bucks in the process.
Early planning for a Western Carribean 2013 cruise led me to this interesting bit of information from the Tropical Meteorology Project at Colorado State University.
QUALITATIVE DISCUSSION OF ATLANTIC BASIN SEASONAL HURRICANE ACTIVITY FOR 2013
http://travelwithkid....colostate.edu/
Don’t look now, Al, but Hurricane activity is now near an all-time low.
During the past 7+-years since Hurricane Katrina, global tropical cyclone frequency and energy have decreased dramatically, and are currently at near-historical record lows. According to a new peer-reviewed research paper accepted to be published, only 69 tropical storms were observed globally during 2010, the fewest in almost 40-years of reliable records.
Over the 18-year period from 1995-2012, we have
had a total of 65 major hurricanes. Of these 65 major hurricanes, only 10 have made
United States landfall as major hurricanes (15%), or approximately half of what we
would expect given the long-term average. When we exclude the two very active major
hurricane landfall years of 2004-2005 (7 major hurricanes making U.S. landfall out of 13
total major hurricanes that formed in the Atlantic basin), only three of the 53 major
hurricanes that formed in the Atlantic basin from 1995-2003 and 2006-2012 have made
U.S. landfall (Figure 8). This is significantly fewer than made landfall during the very
active 16-year period of 1949-1964, when 14 of 60 Atlantic basin major hurricanes made
US landfall (Figure 9). This is a 14 to 3 or nearly 5 to 1 difference. This string of good
luck cannot be expected to continue in the future.
This string of good luck has been even more remarkable for the Florida Peninsula
and the East Coast. From 1995-2012, only four major hurricanes out of 66 (6%) that
formed in the Atlantic basin have made landfall along the Florida Peninsula/East Coast.
The 20th century average is that approximately 18% of all major hurricanes that form in
the Atlantic basin make Florida Peninsula/East Coast landfall. There has been a three
times reduction in the number of major hurricanes making Florida Peninsula/East Coast
landfall during the most recent active period when compared with the 20th century
average.
More impressive signals can be seen if one excludes the 2004-2005 hurricane
seasons, when three major hurricanes made landfall along the Florida Peninsula and East
Coast. From 1941-1969 and 2004-2005, 24 major hurricanes made landfall along the
Florida Peninsula/East Coast over 31 years, or 0.77 major hurricane landfalls per year
(Figure 10). This compares with the 1970-2012 (excluding 2004-2005) average when an
average of only 0.13 major hurricane landfalls per year occurred (or approximately six
times fewer landfalls per year during the more recent period) (Figure 11).
This dearth in United States major hurricane landfalls in more recent years has
resulted in much lower damages being sustained along the coastline than would be
expected given the heightened amounts of basinwide activity that have been experienced
since 1995.
8. Have Atmospheric CO2 Increases Been Responsible for the
Recent Large Upswing (since 1995) in Atlantic Basin Major Hurricanes
and Devastating US Hurricanes of Recent Years?
We strongly believe that the increases in atmospheric CO2 since the start of the
20th century have had little or no significant effect on Atlantic basin or global TC activity
as extensively discussed in our many previous forecast write-ups and recently in Gray
(2011). Global tropical cyclone activity has shown no significant trend over the past
thirty years.
We do not believe that Hurricane/Superstorm Sandy, or other destructive tropical
cyclones of the past ten years (e.g., Ivan, Katrina, Rita, Wilma, Ike, etc.) are a direct
consequence of human-induced global warming. Any impacts of climate change on
hurricanes are believed to be quite small and within the noise level. A more complete
discussion of Hurricane Sandy and climate change, along with a more in-depth discussion
of trends in Atlantic basin TC activity are given in Gray and Klotzbach (2012)