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No Rate Cut tomorrow


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#1 Trend-Signals

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Posted 09 January 2008 - 10:20 PM

tonight, after off from the site. I noticed some irrational pattern of emotional swing, not just opinion, but with exact numbers for market direction. Furthermore, I have noticed that the posters who show big emotional swing are not those who I am familiar with, so I can understand that. It is obvious that we are not going to see rate cut!! Please do care what you express because I see something unsettling. Oh, I need to ignore. :D Good luck, ALL
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#2 milbank

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Posted 09 January 2008 - 10:27 PM

You do need something. <_<

"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it."
--George Bernard Shaw


"None are so hopelessly enslaved as those who falsely believe they are free."
--Johann Wolfgang von Goethe


#3 CNSZ

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Posted 09 January 2008 - 10:53 PM

Furthermore, I have noticed that the posters who show big emotional swing are not those who I am familiar with, so I can understand that.

Actually, beta and Teaparty posted entry today. Based on my read NAV was about to go long, but he did not post a entry, so I think maybe he is still flat.

It is obvious that we are not going to see rate cut!!


I agree with you, if FED do it again, they will lose credibility totally.

#4 Trend-Signals

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Posted 09 January 2008 - 11:01 PM

Came to the site after close, but will see what happens.


http://trend-signals...w-pc-ratio.html



During the day

http://investorshub....age_id=25866699


Hopefully, market will react positive.

Good nite,

Sharon
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#5 TheArchitect

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Posted 09 January 2008 - 11:01 PM

tonight, after off from the site.

I noticed some irrational pattern of emotional swing, not just opinion, but with exact numbers for market direction.

Furthermore, I have noticed that the posters who show big emotional swing are not those who I am familiar with, so I can understand that.

It is obvious that we are not going to see rate cut!!

Please do care what you express because I see something unsettling.

Oh, I need to ignore. :D


Good luck, ALL


what else can they do? more auctions?? they still have about 200 bp's left to cut. I see the coorelation between rate cuts and lower equity prices. sorry bout spelling. -TA

#6 MacRo

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Posted 10 January 2008 - 12:25 AM

typically, in recessions, there seems to be some sort of coda in the "Fed Policy Handbook" that proclaimeth "though shalt cut rates until real interest rates sit at effectively, zero." Look at fed easing cycles over the past five decades. Unless there is an uptick in headline inflation I see no reason why we won't head to 3.5%

#7 SandStorm

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Posted 10 January 2008 - 03:52 AM

I also fail to see why there will be a between-meeting rate cut. There is a 60% implied chance of 50bps cut but that's for the Jan 29 /30 scheduled meeting.