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I bought the close


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#1 NAV

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Posted 21 February 2008 - 04:03 PM

Calls on SPX around the 1340 level. If what i am speculating is true, we should see a massive gap-up tommorow. I smell a nasty bear trap here. I will post the pattern later.

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#2 Rogerdodger

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Posted 21 February 2008 - 04:13 PM

It seems like there are too many of us thinking the same. I'll be interested in the sentiment tonight.

#3 SemiBizz

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Posted 21 February 2008 - 04:16 PM

I don't see gap up, I see gap under support(1334-36) and spring...

Edited by SemiBizz, 21 February 2008 - 04:17 PM.

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Volume is the only vote that matters... the ultimate sentiment poll.

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#4 oextrader

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Posted 21 February 2008 - 04:19 PM

You may be correct, but the averages are testing their 200 week. The DOW still needs to , so I do not see a bear trap I hope. Rick

Edited by oextrader, 21 February 2008 - 04:20 PM.


#5 eminimee

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Posted 21 February 2008 - 04:23 PM

You may be correct, but the averages are testing their 200 week. The DOW still needs to , so I do not see a bear trap I hope.
Rick


....you aren't suppose to see it. :)

#6 NAV

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Posted 21 February 2008 - 04:24 PM

Holy crap !. It's been a looooong time since i have seen a compression like this. How about this - SPX 1430 in 5 trading days ? This is a swing trade and i am looking for about 60-80 SPX points. Hourly close below SPX 1320 - then i am wrong and will be stopped out. :sweatingbullets:

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#7 dualmax88

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Posted 21 February 2008 - 04:26 PM

I don't see gap up, I see gap under support(1334-36) and spring...



Semi - do you see a bullish or bearish spring?

Edited by dualmax88, 21 February 2008 - 04:27 PM.


#8 rkd80

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Posted 21 February 2008 - 04:30 PM

Nav, This is a counter-trend swing trade with a 20 point stop? rkd
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#9 SemiBizz

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Posted 21 February 2008 - 04:31 PM

I don't see gap up, I see gap under support(1334-36) and spring...

Semi - do you see a bullish or bearish spring?


I would suspect a bullish spring off a test of those numbers on a lighter volume penetration, but I won't know til I see the volume. For example what looked like it could be a bullish spring yesterday turned into a bearish event as the spring died on stronger volume without breaking the high. Today's gap and crap call was a no brainer.
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#10 NAV

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Posted 21 February 2008 - 04:36 PM

Nav,

This is a counter-trend swing trade with a 20 point stop?

rkd


rkd,

Countertrend on hourly. Trend on Daily.

There's no easy trade here, bull or bear. It's all about one thing when we have a gigantic compression like this. It's RISK/REWARD.

"It's not the knowing that is difficult, but the doing"

 

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