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Lehman's Stock Drops Amid Rumors REUTERS Filed at 1:21 p.m. ET


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#1 milbank

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Posted 27 March 2008 - 12:40 PM

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Shares of Lehman Brothers <LEH.N> fell by nearly 10 percent in early New York trading on Thursday on rumors that the fourth largest U.S. investment bank could see a run on the bank similar to what happened to Bear Stearns <BSC.N>, traders said.

Declines in Lehman's shares on Thursday are "all being tied to fears of Bear Stearns," said Robert Bolton, head trader for Mendon Capital Advisors in Rochester, New York. "Does another broker dealer go the route of Bear Stearns with regard to their solvency and the like."

A Lehman spokeswoman called the rumors "totally unfounded," which contributed to the stock taking back much of its losses.

Kerrie Cohen, a spokeswoman for Lehman Brothers, said, "There are a lot of rumors in the marketplace that are totally unfounded. We are suspicious that the rumors are being promulgated by short sellers of our stock that have an economic self interest."

At midday, Lehman shares were down 4.28 percent at $40.67 on the New York Stock Exchange, after falling as low as $38.36.

The U.K.'s Times reported on March 19 that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) was probing whether hedge funds and other market players deliberately circulated false rumors about Lehman Brothers to push the company's shares lower.

Investors have been skittish about investment banking shares since the middle of the month when Bear Stearns Cos Inc experienced a run on the bank amid fears that its mortgage exposure could leave it insolvent.

Other traders, who declined to be identified, echoed Bolton's assessment for the reason behind the drop in Lehman's shares. In addition, large bearish bets on Lehman in options markets contributed to selling pressure, some traders said.

Lou Brien, a strategist with DRW Trading Group in Chicago, said there had been a rumor on Thursday that Lehman was close to making an announcement, which contributed to the shares selling off, but the announcement proved to be about the bank hiring a new co-head of global institutional distribution, after which shares recovered.

Lehman Brothers a decade ago derived an outsized proportion of its earnings from the U.S. bond market and has long been an active player in mortgages, leading some investors to argue the company could be devastated by the credit crisis. But Lehman's business is much more diversified than it was in the 1990s, and the company has not posted any net losses during the credit crunch.

Since Bear was forced to announce plans to sell itself to JPMorgan Chase & Co on March 16, the Federal Reserve has allowed investment banks to borrow directly from the central bank, in a move designed to shore up the financial system.

In an e-mailed statement on March 17, Lehman Chief Executive Dick Fuld said the Fed's creation of a liquidity facility for primary dealers "from my perspective, takes the liquidity issue for the entire industry off the table."

Lehman said on March 18 that its holding company has $34 billion of assets it could easily sell, and another $64 billion of assets it could borrow against. Regulated subsidiaries have another $99 billion of assets it could borrow against.

(Reporting by Paritosh Bansal and Dan Wilchins, additional reporting by Doris Frankel in Chicago, Editing by Toni Reinhold)


Edited by milbank, 27 March 2008 - 12:45 PM.

"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it."
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#2 SemiBizz

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Posted 27 March 2008 - 12:47 PM

Gosh, just because all these brokers and banks are technically insolvent and going to have 20-30% declines in revenues if they stay in business is no good reason to sell the stock, is it? :lol: :lol: :lol:
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#3 milbank

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Posted 27 March 2008 - 12:59 PM

Like you said semi, insolvency is now merely a technicality.
[img]http://wzus.ask.com/r?t=a&d=us&s=a&c=p&ti=1&ai=30751&l=zn&o=tb&sv=0a300514&ip=41571c24&u=http://www.dailyreckoning.com/Featured/bernanke-helicopter.jpg[/img]
Drink up boys! It's all now on the house.

"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it."
--George Bernard Shaw


"None are so hopelessly enslaved as those who falsely believe they are free."
--Johann Wolfgang von Goethe


#4 milbank

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Posted 27 March 2008 - 01:18 PM

In an e-mailed statement on March 17, Lehman Chief Executive Dick Fuld said the Fed's creation of a liquidity facility for primary dealers "from my perspective, takes the liquidity issue for the entire industry off the table."



Bear Stearns died so that Lehman could live through taxpayer dollars and the Federal Reserve Our Lord.

Posted Image
That's "Big Dick" Fuld, CEO of Lehman Brothers carrying his compensation for 2007.

Edited by milbank, 27 March 2008 - 01:22 PM.

"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it."
--George Bernard Shaw


"None are so hopelessly enslaved as those who falsely believe they are free."
--Johann Wolfgang von Goethe


#5 SemiBizz

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Posted 27 March 2008 - 01:32 PM

http://bigcharts.mar...&mocktick=1.gif

Volume Spike low of 38.36 lining up for test in next 20 min or so... could get ugly if that breaks on quality of volume...
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Richard Wyckoff - "Whenever you find hope or fear warping judgment, close out your position"

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#6 milbank

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Posted 27 March 2008 - 01:58 PM

Well, if Bear is the template, it will take a day or two after the CEO protests the "rumors" of no liquidity (today) before they announce the have "no liquidity." Perhaps we should synchronize our watches for Monday?

Edited by milbank, 27 March 2008 - 01:58 PM.

"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it."
--George Bernard Shaw


"None are so hopelessly enslaved as those who falsely believe they are free."
--Johann Wolfgang von Goethe


#7 SemiBizz

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Posted 27 March 2008 - 02:07 PM

Monday is end of the quarter, can't have that... time for a "Two Dollah Tuesday"... :cheer: :lol:
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Richard Wyckoff - "Whenever you find hope or fear warping judgment, close out your position"

Volume is the only vote that matters... the ultimate sentiment poll.

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#8 milbank

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Posted 27 March 2008 - 02:22 PM

Monday is end of the quarter, can't have that... time for a "Two Dollah Tuesday"... :cheer: :lol:

Of course! Can't be Monday. Gotta get through Monday. :sweatingbullets:
Two on Tuesday it is! :lol:

Edited by milbank, 27 March 2008 - 02:26 PM.

"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it."
--George Bernard Shaw


"None are so hopelessly enslaved as those who falsely believe they are free."
--Johann Wolfgang von Goethe


#9 SemiBizz

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Posted 27 March 2008 - 02:31 PM

Right here as you can see, quality of volume move down to test this volume spike low under $36...
Price and Volume Forensics Specialist

Richard Wyckoff - "Whenever you find hope or fear warping judgment, close out your position"

Volume is the only vote that matters... the ultimate sentiment poll.

http://twitter.com/VolumeDynamics  http://parler.com/Volumedynamics